Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo

Primera División· Regular Season - 20
DWWWGoals 16-112nd in league
LWDWGoals 17-131st in league
Home6W 3D 1L(17-7)
Away9W 0D 1L(20-12)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 30'Álvaro Madrid (Javier Correa)
  2. 39'Maximiliano Guerrero
  3. 42'L. Hernandez
  4. 45+3'Charles Aránguiz
  5. 46'Maximiliano Guerrero (I. Lichnovsky)
  6. 53'Javier Correa (Víctor Felipe Méndez)
  7. 57'Matías Zaldivia
  8. 61'T. Reinhart
  9. 61'Álvaro Madrid
  10. 63'Agustín Arce (I. A. Vasquez Gonzalez)
  11. 64'L. Hernandez (T. Alarcon)
  12. 73'L. Pastran (M. Romero)
  13. 76'Charles Aránguiz (G. Reyna)
  14. 77'Álvaro Madrid (I. Roman)
  15. 83'Fabián Hormazábal (Juan Martin Lucero)
  16. 90+2'Jonathan Villagra
  17. 90+3'L. Barrera
  18. 90+3'Javier Correa
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
1.6
Goals/game
1.7
1.1
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Universidad de Chile win
42%
Draw
26%
Colo Colo win
32%
57.7%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
24.7%Universidad de Chile clean sheet
23.5%Colo Colo clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup between Universidad de Chile and Colo Colo, with both teams showing strong form recently. Universidad boasts an impressive home record, remaining unbeaten in their last 9 games, while Colo Colo has performed well away, with only one loss this season. Historically, their recent head-to-head encounters have been close, often resulting in draws or narrow victories.

  • Universidad de Chile unbeaten in last 9 home games
  • Colo Colo has only 1 away loss this season
  • Both teams have scored an average of around 1.5 goals per game in recent matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Universidad de Chile

  • Strong recent formUniversidad de Chile

    Universidad de Chile are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Strong home recordUniversidad de Chile

    Universidad de Chile have won 6 of their last 10 home matches.

    6/10 home wins
  • Strong away recordColo Colo

    Colo Colo have won 9 of their last 10 away matches.

    9/10 away wins
  • Historical edgeColo Colo

    Colo Colo have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Universidad de Chile at 42% — final result was Colo Colo win, Universidad de Chile 1-2 Colo Colo.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Universidad de Chile2.22market 45% · model 42%
Colo Colo2.94market 34% · model 32%
Draw3.39market 29.5% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Universidad de Chile have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Colo Colo have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Universidad de Chile wins
3Draws
3Colo Colo wins
6-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Universidad de Chile2.22best 2.32
Draw3.39best 3.80
Colo Colo2.94best 3.16

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.85best 1.91
Under 2.51.90best 1.99

Both teams to score

Yes1.67best 1.70
No2.07best 2.10

Double chance

Universidad de Chile/Draw1.36best 1.44
Universidad de Chile/Colo Colo1.27best 1.30
Draw/Colo Colo1.59best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Universidad de Chile2.22 0.09
Draw3.39 0.07
Colo Colo2.94 0.16
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Universidad de Chile win+0.5pp
AI
42%
Market
41.5%
Draw-1.2pp
AI
26%
Market
27.2%
Colo Colo win+0.6pp
AI
32%
Market
31.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Universidad de Chile
201064+1236WWWW
1
Colo Colo
201613+2249DWWW

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.7
1.1Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Lara

4.83Yellow cards / game
0.17Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Universidad de Chile

0-15'
0%
16-30'
40%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

Colo Colo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
12.5%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
37.5%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
12.5%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo?+

Our AI model favors Universidad de Chile to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 26%, Colo Colo 32%).

What time does Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).