Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí

Primera División· Apertura - 17
LLLLGoals 8-2716th in league
WLWWGoals 20-1110th in league
Home3W 2D 4L(14-13)
Away1W 2D 6L(9-14)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'Esdras Mendoza
  2. 13'T. Tobar
  3. 20'Jose Pinto
  4. 27'M. Nunez
  5. 40'S. Pena
  6. 46'Jose Pinto (O. Blanco)
  7. 46'Esdras Mendoza (D. Vargas)
  8. 63'N. Amarilla (S. Alvarez)
  9. 63'C. Abastoflor (Weslen Junior)
  10. 63'M. Nunez (O. Baldomar)
  11. 68'M. Gomez (D. A. Camacho Almanza)
  12. 74'F. Pasadore (D. Saavedra)
  13. 74'O. Blanco (D. Saavedra)
  14. 79'D. Hoyos (L. Pavia)
  15. 79'T. Tobar (W. Alvarez)
  16. 89'J. Calicho (B. Calderon)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
0.8
Goals/game
2.0
2.7
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Universitario de Vinto win
45%
Draw
27%
Nacional Potosí win
28%
55.5%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
9.5%Universitario de Vinto clean sheet
38.7%Nacional Potosí clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Nacional Potosí holds an advantage going into this match, having a better league standing and recent form compared to Universitario de Vinto, who are struggling with a series of defeats. Historically, Nacional Potosí has performed well in head-to-head encounters, with multiple wins over Universitario de Vinto. With Universitario averaging only 0.8 goals scored and a poor defensive record, the numbers favor an away win.

  • National Potosí ranked 10th, significantly higher than Universitario de Vinto's 16th position
  • Universitario de Vinto has lost last 5 matches, showing a declining form
  • Nacional Potosí has scored an average of 2 goals per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Universitario de Vinto

  • Poor recent formUniversitario de Vinto

    Universitario de Vinto have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Good recent formNacional Potosí

    Nacional Potosí have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackNacional Potosí

    Nacional Potosí are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game
  • Tighter defenseNacional Potosí

    Nacional Potosí are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Universitario de Vinto at 45% — final result was Universitario de Vinto win, Universitario de Vinto 2-0 Nacional Potosí.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Universitario de Vinto2.03market 49.2% · model 45%
Nacional Potosí3.11market 32.1% · model 28%
Draw3.47market 28.8% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Universitario de Vinto have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Nacional Potosí have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Universitario de Vinto wins
1Draws
4Nacional Potosí wins
9-13Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Universitario de Vinto2.03best 2.10
Draw3.47best 3.70
Nacional Potosí3.11best 3.31

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.59best 1.65
Under 2.52.19best 2.23

Both teams to score

Yes1.52best 1.57
No2.34best 2.40

Double chance

Universitario de Vinto/Draw1.30best 1.36
Universitario de Vinto/Nacional Potosí1.24best 1.28
Draw/Nacional Potosí1.66best 1.72

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Universitario de Vinto2.03 0.42
Draw3.47
Nacional Potosí3.11 0.71
24 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Universitario de Vinto win+0.3pp
AI
45%
Market
44.7%
Draw+0.9pp
AI
27%
Market
26.1%
Nacional Potosí win-1.2pp
AI
28%
Market
29.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
16
Universitario de Vinto
174211-1314LLLL
10
Nacional Potosí
17638+221WWLL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game2
2.7Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Universitario de Vinto

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

Nacional Potosí

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí?+

Our AI model favors Universitario de Vinto to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 27%, Nacional Potosí 28%).

What time does Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).