Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Primera División· Clausura - 6
DLDWGoals 18-102nd in league
LLWLGoals 9-112nd in league
Home2W 1D 0L(6-2)
Away3W 3D 2L(9-13)
Estadio Monumental

Estadio Monumental, Lima · Capacity 80,093 · grass · Referee: Daniel Ureta

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'Ayrthon Quintana
  2. 6'Juan Manuel Requena
  3. 26'Gianluca Lapadula (Caín Fara)
  4. 43'Caín Fara
  5. 48'F. Torres
  6. 51'F. Torres
  7. 55'Matías Di Benedetto
  8. 67'André Vasquez
  9. 69'Ayrthon Quintana (Axel Chávez)
  10. 70'Alex Valera
  11. 73'Juan Manuel Requena (Jorge Murrugarra)
  12. 73'Jairo Concha (Piero Quispe)
  13. 76'Gianluca Lapadula
  14. 79'André Vasquez (Kenji Barrios)
  15. 81'Adrián Quiroz (Héctor Fértoli)
  16. 81'Gianluca Lapadula (É. Flores)
  17. 88'Alex Valera (Horacio Calcaterra)

Lineups

UniversitarioClub Deportivo Los Chankas
1.8
Goals/game
0.9
1.0
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Universitario win
75.65%
Draw
15.75%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas win
8.6%
46.9%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
38.7%Universitario clean sheet
23.5%Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Universitario holds a strong advantage, particularly with their home form being solid this season. Despite Club Deportivo Los Chankas' previous victories against them, their current away struggles combined with Universitario's scoring ability indicate a likely edge for the home side. The statistics favor a close match but lean towards a Universitario victory.

  • Universitario unbeaten at home this season with 1 win and 1 draw
  • Club Deportivo Los Chankas has not won away yet this season
  • Universitario has a strong scoring average of 1.8 goals per game in the last 10 matches
  • Historically, Los Chankas have dominated recent matchups, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Universitario

  • Strong home recordUniversitario

    Universitario have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordClub Deportivo Los Chankas

    Club Deportivo Los Chankas have won 3 of their last 8 away matches.

    3/8 away wins
  • Sharper attackUniversitario

    Universitario are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Poor recent formClub Deportivo Los Chankas

    Club Deportivo Los Chankas have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Universitario at 75.65% — final result was Universitario win, Universitario 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Universitario1.24market 80.6% · model 75.65%
Draw5.56market 18% · model 15.75%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas10.96market 9.1% · model 8.6%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Universitario have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Club Deportivo Los Chankas have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Universitario wins
2Draws
1Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins
5-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Universitario1.24best 1.33
Draw5.56best 6.20
Club Deportivo Los Chankas10.96best 13.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.65best 1.70
Under 2.52.13best 2.22

Both teams to score

Yes2.23best 2.50
No1.58best 1.70

Double chance

Universitario/Draw1.04best 1.07
Universitario/Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.12best 1.17
Draw/Club Deportivo Los Chankas3.56best 4.05

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — No2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 8.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Universitario1.24 0.06
Draw5.56 0.64
Club Deportivo Los Chankas10.96 1.86
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Universitario win+0.9pp
AI
75.65%
Market
74.8%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
15.75%
Market
16.7%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas win+0.1pp
AI
8.6%
Market
8.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Universitario
6411+413WDLW
2
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
171043+434WLWD

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game0.9
1Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Universitario

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Match statistics

61%Possession39%
Expected goals (xG)
6Shots on target0
15Total shots4
7Shots off target3
2Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box2
2Shots outside the box2
3Corners2
3Offsides1
15Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
0Goalkeeper saves3
494Total passes316
431Accurate passes243
87%Pass accuracy77%

Player ratings

Box score

Universitario

2Caín FaraD · 90'
🅰️ 1🟨7.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes47%
Tackles3
Duels71%
7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes49%
Tackles
Duels67%
27.0
More stats
Shots2/5 on target
Passes11%
Tackles
Duels50%
20Alex ValeraF · 88'
17.2
More stats
Shots2/4 on target
Passes24%
Tackles2
Duels50%
🟨7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes44%
Tackles2
Duels75%
17Jairo ConchaM · 73'
7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes33%
Tackles1
Duels67%
28Adrián QuirozM · 81'
7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes24%
Tackles4
Duels88%
1Diego RomeroG · 90'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes7%
Tackles
Duels
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes40%
Tackles1
Duels43%
24Andy Polo (C)M · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes46%
Tackles1
Duels50%
33César IngaM · 90'
7.3
More stats
Shots2/2 on target
Passes42%
Tackles3
Duels67%
Bench (9)
19
19É. FloresM · 9'
6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes6%
Tackles
Duels0%
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes20%
Tackles1
Duels60%
More stats
Shots on target
Passes5%
Tackles
Duels0%
7.0
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes11%
Tackles
Duels
39Piero QuispeM · 17'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes22%
Tackles
Duels75%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

🟨6.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes10%
Tackles3
Duels50%
5.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes28%
Tackles
Duels25%
6.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes30%
Tackles6
Duels39%
11Jarlin QuinteroF · 90'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes7%
Tackles
Duels45%
33Carlos PimientaD · 90'
6.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes38%
Tackles1
Duels60%
5.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes39%
Tackles1
Duels27%
15Kelvin SánchezM · 90'
6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes18%
Tackles5
Duels50%
10
10F. TorresF · 51'
🟥5.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes4%
Tackles
Duels25%
26David GonzalesD · 90'
6.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes21%
Tackles
Duels75%
13André VasquezM · 79'
🟨6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes28%
Tackles4
Duels43%
1Hairo CamachoG · 90'
6.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes14%
Tackles
Duels0%
Bench (9)
16Axel ChávezD · 21'
5.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes1%
Tackles
Duels0%
27Kenji BarriosD · 11'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes5%
Tackles
Duels100%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?+

Our AI model favors Universitario to win, with a 75.65% probability (Draw 15.75%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 8.6%).

Where is Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?+

The match is played at Estadio Monumental, Lima (capacity 80,093).

What time does Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).