Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS

UEFA Europa League· 3rd Qualifying Round
DDWLGoals 12-6
WDLWGoals 17-11
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'V. R. Gasc (T. Hamalainen)
  2. 31'T. Hamalainen
  3. 43'S. Nsimba
  4. 46'T. Hamalainen (C. Antwi)
  5. 49'J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
  6. 52'David Matei
  7. 61'S. Nsimba (A. Al Hamlawi)
  8. 61'David Matei (M. Etim)
  9. 62'C. Mora (A. Al Hamlawi)
  10. 66'K. Adams
  11. 67'V. R. Gasc (J. Luyeye-Lutumba)
  12. 67'J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (P. Parzyszek)
  13. 79'A. Puukko (S. Savolainen)
  14. 80'A. Cicâldău (T. Băluţă)
  15. 80'Ș. Baiaram (Heriberto Tavares)
  16. 90+1'A. Mekvabishvili (Samuel Teles)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Universitatea CraiovaKuPS
1.2
Goals/game
1.7
0.6
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Universitatea Craiova win
69.54%
Draw
19.7%
KuPS win
10.76%
46.7%BTTS
40.4%Over 2.5
31.7%Universitatea Craiova clean sheet
31.7%KuPS clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Statistical analysis indicates that Universitatea Craiova holds a significant advantage, having remained unbeaten in their last five home matches. Despite this, KuPS demonstrates a stronger scoring average in their recent games, which could challenge Craiova's defense. The expected scorelines suggest a close match, but the home team's stability may tilt the outcome in their favor.

  • Universitatea Craiova unbeaten in their last 5 home matches
  • KuPS has a better scoring average in their last 10 matches compared to Craiova
  • Craiova's defense has conceded only 0.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • KuPS is coming off three wins in their last five matches, showing solid form
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Universitatea Craiova

  • Sharper attackKuPS

    KuPS are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseUniversitatea Craiova

    Universitatea Craiova are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.6/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Universitatea Craiova at 69.54% — final result was Universitatea Craiova win, Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPS.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Universitatea Craiova1.34market 74.7% · model 69.54%
Draw4.66market 21.4% · model 19.7%
KuPS8.66market 11.5% · model 10.76%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Universitatea Craiova have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • KuPS have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Universitatea Craiova1.34best 1.42
Draw4.66best 5.18
KuPS8.66best 10.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.81best 1.92
Under 2.51.96best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes2.13best 2.20
No1.64best 1.73

Double chance

Universitatea Craiova/Draw1.06best 1.09
Universitatea Craiova/KuPS1.16best 1.20
Draw/KuPS3.03best 3.36

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.91best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.80best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.50best 6.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Universitatea Craiova1.34 0.05
Draw4.66 0.43
KuPS8.66 0.86
10 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Universitatea Craiova win+0.1pp
AI
69.54%
Market
69.4%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
19.7%
Market
19.9%
KuPS win+0.1pp
AI
10.76%
Market
10.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.7
0.6Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

N. Minakovic

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
10Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Universitatea Craiova

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
40%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

KuPS

0-15'
22.2%
16-30'
22.2%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
11.1%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?+

Our AI model favors Universitatea Craiova to win, with a 69.54% probability (Draw 19.7%, KuPS 10.76%).

What time does Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).