US Dax vs Narbonne
Stade Maurice Boyau
Value found
+58.8% edgeDraw
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by half
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Dax | — | — | 57 |
 Narbonne | — | — | 19 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 27-22
Data suggests that US Dax is significantly favored to win this match, bolstered by their strong home record and favorable head-to-head history against Narbonne. While the odds of a draw are slim, Narbonne's poor performance away from home indicates they will likely face challenges in securing even a competitive score.
- US Dax has a home win rate of 75% this season, indicating strong performance at home.
- Historically, US Dax has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Narbonne.
- Narbonne's away win rate this season stands at just 11%, showcasing their struggle on the road.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors US Dax
- Strong home recordUS Dax
US Dax have won 16 of their last 20 home matches.
16/20 home wins - Weak away recordNarbonne
Narbonne have won 2 of their last 20 away matches.
2/20 away wins - Good recent formUS Dax
US Dax have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formNarbonne
Narbonne have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked US Dax at 77% — final result was US Dax win, US Dax 57-19 Narbonne.
Predicted score was 27-22.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- US Dax have averaged 29.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Narbonne have averaged 20.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- US Dax are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Narbonne.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Points spread
| Line | US Dax | Narbonne |
|---|---|---|
| -14 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| -13.5 | 1.87 | 1.82 |
| -13 | 1.91▼ | 1.91▲ |
| -12.5 | 1.85▼ | 1.85▲ |
| -12 | 1.81 | 1.93 |
| -11.5 | 1.81▼ | 1.89▲ |
| -11 | 1.75 | 2.02 |
| -10 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 48.5 | 1.58 | 2.20 |
| 49.5 | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| 51 | 1.80 | 1.94 |
| 51.5 | 1.83 | 1.88 |
| 52 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 52.5 | 1.89 | 1.82 |
| 54.5 | 2.13 | 1.62 |
| 55.5 | 2.22 | 1.57 |
Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More Pro D2 predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win US Dax vs Narbonne?+
Our AI model favors US Dax to win, with a 77% probability (Narbonne 18%).
What time does US Dax vs Narbonne kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by half in US Dax vs Narbonne?+
US Dax: . Narbonne: . Final: 57-19.