Uta Arad vs Corvinul Hunedoara — Liga I

Liga I· Regular Season - 6

Uta Arad

0–0Full-time

Corvinul Hunedoara

WLDWWLGoals 15-915th in league

LLLDWWGoals 13-146th in league

Home0W 3D 0L(2-2)

Away0W 2D 1L(0-2)

Match events

14'Marinos Tzionis
38'A. Benga
57'Renato Espinoza (A. Gillard)
57'M. Bratu (D. N. Pirvulescu)
58'S. Mino
64'Marinos Tzionis (D. Taroi)
64'Jayson Papeau (R. Odada)
67'D. N. Pirvulescu
68'A. Benga (A. Roman)
68'Goal Disallowed - video review — A. Benga
79'S. Ribeiro (I. Cararus)
79'A. Fábry (G. Uche Goodlad)
82'S. Mino (I. Sinani)
87'R. Odada
88'E. Yeboah (M. Hayatu)
90+5'R. Badescu
90'R. Odada (R. Badescu)

Lineups

Uta Arad

Corvinul Hunedoara

4-2-3-14-2-3-1

Adrian MihalceaCoach

Florin Maxim

Bench (6)

Bench (10)

AI match analysis

Uta Arad win

43%

Draw

30%

Corvinul Hunedoara win

27%

51.1%BTTS

46.9%Over 2.5

33.3%Uta Arad clean sheet

23.5%Corvinul Hunedoara clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that Uta Arad is struggling with form, having not won in their last five matches, while Corvinul Hunedoara has performed better recently with three wins out of their last five. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring matches, with Uta averaging 1.5 goals scored and Corvinul averaging 1.3. Given this context, a draw seems plausible in this matchup.

Uta Arad has not won any of their last 5 matches (LDLDL)
Corvinul Hunedoara has won 3 of their last 5 matches (WDDLW)
Uta Arad has a negative goal difference of -6 this season
Corvinul's away performance shows 1 draw and 1 loss with a low scoring average of 1.3 goals per game.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

71/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Uta Arad

Higher league positionCorvinul Hunedoara
Corvinul Hunedoara sit 9 places above Uta Arad in the table.
#6 vs #15
Tighter defenseUta Arad
Uta Arad are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded
Good recent formCorvinul Hunedoara
Corvinul Hunedoara have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Sharper attackUta Arad
Uta Arad are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Uta Arad at 43% — final result was a draw, Uta Arad 0-0 Corvinul Hunedoara.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Uta Arad2.19market 45.8% · model 43%

Draw ✓3.15market 31.8% · model 30%

Corvinul Hunedoara3.24market 30.8% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Uta Arad have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Corvinul Hunedoara have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Uta Arad2.19best 2.27

Draw3.15▼best 3.30

Corvinul Hunedoara3.24▲best 3.43

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.09▼best 2.15

Under 2.51.71▲best 1.75

Both teams to score

Yes1.83▼best 1.88

No1.88▲best 1.92

Double chance

Uta Arad/Draw1.30▼best 1.36

Uta Arad/Corvinul Hunedoara1.31▼best 1.36

Draw/Corvinul Hunedoara1.63best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28▲best 1.28

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50▼best 3.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Uta Arad2.18▲ 0.02

Draw3.15▼ 0.01

Corvinul Hunedoara3.24▲ 0.07

19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Uta Arad win+0.8pp

AI

43%

Market

42.2%

Draw+0.7pp

AI

30%

Market

29.3%

Corvinul Hunedoara win-1.5pp

AI

27%

Market

28.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.