V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo
Match events
- 3'Yuto Iwasaki
- 20'Ikki Arai (Masahiro Sekiguchi)
- 38'Motoki Nagakura (Kashif Bangnagande)
- 45+4'Shion Homma (Marcelo)
- 45'Hotaru Yamaguchi (Kenshin Yasuda)
- 50'Takahiro Ko
- 55'Marcelo (Motoki Nagakura)
- 58'Yuto Iwasaki (Norman Campbell)
- 60'Kashif Bangnagande (Kento Hashimoto)
- 60'Marcelo (Fuki Yamada)
- 60'Shion Homma (Soma Anzai)
- 67'Motoki Nagakura (Teruhito Nakagawa)
- 70'Thiago Santana (Reijin Kou)
- 70'Riku Yamada (Diego Pituca)
- 77'Shunya Yoneda (Matheus Jesus)
- 78'Norman Campbell
- 79'Takahiro Ko (Kyota Tokiwa)
- 83'Kein Sato (Hirokazu Ishihara)
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that FC Tokyo enters this match with a stronger form compared to V-varen Nagasaki, having secured more wins in their recent outings. Despite V-varen's home advantage, their inconsistent performance could be a significant factor, as they have lost 2 out of the last 3 matches. Historically, FC Tokyo has had the upper hand in their encounters, indicating they may be favored to win.
- FC Tokyo has a superior recent form with 3 wins out of their last 5 matches
- V-varen Nagasaki has been inconsistent, losing 2 of their last 3 games
- FC Tokyo has historically won 5 of the last 10 meetings against V-varen Nagasaki
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Tokyo
- Strong home recordV-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins - Strong away recordFC Tokyo
FC Tokyo have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins - Higher league positionFC Tokyo
FC Tokyo sit 13 places above V-varen Nagasaki in the table.
#5 vs #18 - Good recent formV-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Tokyo at 61% — final result was FC Tokyo win, V-varen Nagasaki 0-3 FC Tokyo.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (98/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- V-varen Nagasaki have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Tokyo have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 | LLLW |
| 5 |  FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | WWDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
V-varen Nagasaki
FC Tokyo
More J1 League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo?+
Our AI model favors FC Tokyo to win, with a 61% probability (Draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%).
What time does V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 9:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).