Valencia vs Celta Vigo
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia · Capacity 55,000 · grass
Match events
- 39'J. de Haas
- 40'Stole Dimitrievski
- 46'J. de Haas (Mouctar Diakhaby)
- 57'Hugo Álvarez (Williot Swedberg)
- 57'Sergio Carreira
- 58'R. Sato (Umar Sadiq)
- 64'F. Jutgla (Pablo Durán)
- 64'J. El Abdellaoui (J. Rueda)
- 64'Javi Galán (Iago Aspas)
- 65'Javi Galán (Hugo González)
- 67'J. Rueda
- 70'José Luis Gayà (Pablo Maffeo)
- 70'Filip Ugrinić (A. Dieng)
- 77'Aleix Febas (Ilaix Moriba)
- 80'Andrei Radu
- 83'Arnaut Danjuma (Hugo Duro)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The recent head-to-head history suggests a competitive matchup, with Celta Vigo edging Valencia in their last five meetings. Both teams have shown volatility in their scoring, with Valencia netting an average of 1.5 goals in their last 10 matches while Celta Vigo concedes similarly. Given these trends, a draw appears likely as both teams look to secure their first points of the season.
- Celta Vigo has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Valencia
- Valencia scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last 10 games
- Celta Vigo has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last 10 games
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Valencia
- Historical edgeCelta Vigo
Celta Vigo have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackValencia
Valencia are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Higher league positionCelta Vigo
Celta Vigo sit 1 place above Valencia in the table.
#16 vs #17
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Valencia at 38% — final result was a draw, Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Valencia have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Celta Vigo have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Valencia
Celta VigoCelta VigoValenciaValenciaCelta VigoCelta VigoValenciaCelta VigoValenciaValenciaCelta VigoValenciaCelta VigoCelta VigoValenciaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Celta Vigo
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EspanyolFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Valencia vs Celta Vigo?+
Our AI model favors Valencia to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 31%, Celta Vigo 31%).
Where is Valencia vs Celta Vigo played?+
The match is played at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia (capacity 55,000).
What time does Valencia vs Celta Vigo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).