Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
Value found
+1.1% edgeKA Akureyri win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 5'J. Arnason (A. Palsson)
- 16'H. Steingrimsson (J. Pedersen)
- 21'Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson (T. Haraldsson)
- 39'J. Arnason (K. Gautason)
- 46'M. Veldman (H. Gunnarsson)
- 52'J. Arnason (D. Montiel)
- 61'P. Pedersen (Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson)
- 61'D. Gardarson (S. Veseli)
- 62'G. Hrafnkelsson (J. Robertsson)
- 67'P. Pedersen (Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson)
- 72'A. Palsson (M. M. Petursson)
- 72'J. Pedersen (V. Saevarsson)
- 78'H. Steingrimsson
- 79'P. Pedersen (J. Palsson)
- 79'B. Heimisson (K. Arnarsson)
- 83'T. Haraldsson (L. Heimisson)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 2.7
- 2.3
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Valur Reykjavik has had a strong home advantage historically against KA Akureyri, winning the last five encounters between the teams. Despite Valur's recent struggles reflected in their recent form of WLLLL, their home scoring ability contrasts with KA's tendency to concede, which may influence the outcome.
- Valur Reykjavik unbeaten in last 5 home games against KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Valur Reykjavik averages 1.7 goals scored at home while KA Akureyri concedes 2.7 away per game
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Valur Reykjavik
- Historical edgeValur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackKA Akureyri
KA Akureyri are averaging 2.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.7/game - Tighter defenseKA Akureyri
KA Akureyri are conceding just 2 goals per game over their recent matches.
2/game conceded - Higher league positionValur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik sit 3 places above KA Akureyri in the table.
#8 vs #11
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Valur Reykjavik at 47% — final result was a draw, Valur Reykjavik 4-4 KA Akureyri.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Valur Reykjavik have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- KA Akureyri have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
KA Akureyri
Valur ReykjavikValur ReykjavikKA AkureyriValur ReykjavikKA AkureyriKA AkureyriValur ReykjavikKA AkureyriValur ReykjavikValur ReykjavikKA AkureyriKA AkureyriValur ReykjavikValur ReykjavikKA AkureyriOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -7 | 23 | DWLL |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 16 | DLLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
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IA AkranesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?+
Our AI model favors Valur Reykjavik to win, with a 47% probability (Draw 23%, KA Akureyri 30%).
What time does Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).