Vasas vs Puskas Academy

NB I· Regular Season - 5
Vasas
01Full-time
Puskas Academy
LDWWGoals 16-104th in league
WWWWGoals 21-141st in league
Home1W 1D 1L(7-3)
Away3W 0D 0L(6-2)
Illovszky Rudolf Stadion

Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest · Capacity 5,054 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'R. Szolnoki
  2. 27'Georgiy Harutyunyan
  3. 44'B. Rab
Lineups unavailable for this match.
VasasPuskas Academy
1.6
Goals/game
2.1
1.0
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Vasas win
42.7%
Draw
28.17%
Puskas Academy win
29.12%
61.2%BTTS
58.8%Over 2.5
21.2%Vasas clean sheet
22.3%Puskas Academy clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Statistical analysis shows that both teams have demonstrated resilience, with Vasas holding a strong home advantage and Puskas Academy remaining unbeaten in their away fixtures this season. Historically, their encounters often result in draws, which supports a balanced expectation for this matchup. The figures suggest a low-scoring game, likely resulting in a 1-1 tie.

  • Puskas Academy undefeated in last 4 matches
  • Vasas has a strong home record with 1 win and 1 draw this season
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches have seen 3 draws and no team winning consecutively
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Vasas

  • Weak home recordVasas

    Vasas have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Strong away recordPuskas Academy

    Puskas Academy have won 3 of their last 3 away matches.

    3/3 away wins
  • Strong recent formPuskas Academy

    Puskas Academy are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Sharper attackPuskas Academy

    Puskas Academy are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Vasas at 42.7% — final result was Puskas Academy win, Vasas 0-1 Puskas Academy.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Vasas2.15market 46.6% · model 42.7%
Puskas Academy3.03market 33% · model 29.12%
Draw3.41market 29.3% · model 28.17%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Vasas have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Puskas Academy have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Vasas wins
4Draws
2Puskas Academy wins
10-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Vasas2.15best 2.23
Draw3.41best 3.60
Puskas Academy3.03best 3.27

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.61best 1.66
Under 2.52.21best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.51best 1.57
No2.37best 2.42

Double chance

Vasas/Draw1.33best 1.37
Vasas/Puskas Academy1.25best 1.29
Draw/Puskas Academy1.63best 1.72

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Vasas2.15 0.08
Draw3.41 0.03
Puskas Academy3.03 0.14
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Vasas win-0.1pp
AI
42.7%
Market
42.8%
Draw+1.3pp
AI
28.17%
Market
26.9%
Puskas Academy win-1.2pp
AI
29.12%
Market
30.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Vasas
5221+58WWDD
1
Puskas Academy
5401+312WWLW

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game2.1
1Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Vasas

0-15'
28.6%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
57.1%

Puskas Academy

0-15'
13.6%
16-30'
13.6%
31-45'
27.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
9.1%
76-90+'
36.4%

More NB I predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Vasas vs Puskas Academy?+

Our AI model favors Vasas to win, with a 42.7% probability (Draw 28.17%, Puskas Academy 29.12%).

Where is Vasas vs Puskas Academy played?+

The match is played at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest (capacity 5,054).

What time does Vasas vs Puskas Academy kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).