Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria
Match events
- 15'Cauan Barros
- 18'Cauan Barros
- 34'C. Spinelli (Paulo Henrique)
- 38'Caique Goncalves
- 46'Marinho (Erick)
- 46'Caique Goncalves (Rene)
- 59'Andrés Gómez (F. Colidio)
- 64'Ze Vitor (Walace)
- 64'Ze Vitor (Jamerson)
- 64'Ramon (Jamerson)
- 69'Ramon (Walace)
- 73'F. Colidio (David)
- 73'Andrés Gómez (Adson)
- 78'Renato Kayzer (Osvaldo)
- 80'Thiago Mendes (Tchê Tchê)
- 80'Ramon Rique (Santiago Sosa)
- 83'Matheuzinho
- 83'Emanuel Brítez
Lineups
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests that Vasco DA Gama's recent form includes a series of draws, yet they have historically performed well against Vitoria, winning four out of the last five encounters. Vitoria struggles in scoring, averaging only 0.8 goals per game in their last ten matches, which may hinder their chances in this quarter-final matchup.
- Vasco DA Gama has drawn three of their last five matches
- Vitoria has only managed two wins in their last five matches
- Historically, Vasco DA Gama has the upper hand with a 4-3 record in their last five encounters against Vitoria
- Vitoria has a lower scoring average of 0.8 goals per game over their last ten matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Vasco DA Gama
- Tighter defenseVitoria
Vitoria are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Historical edgeVitoria
Vitoria have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formVitoria
Vitoria have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Vasco DA Gama at 59.63% — final result was Vasco DA Gama win, Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Vitoria.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Vasco DA Gama have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Vitoria have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Vasco DA Gama
VitoriaVitoriaVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaVitoriaVitoriaVasco DA GamaVitoriaVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaVitoriaVasco DA GamaVitoriaVitoriaVasco DA GamaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
More Copa Do Brasil predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?+
Our AI model favors Vasco DA Gama to win, with a 59.63% probability (Draw 26.31%, Vitoria 14.06%).
What time does Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).