Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF

Allsvenskan· Regular Season - 18
WWLWGoals 23-88th in league
LLLWGoals 22-1313th in league
Home3W 4D 2L(15-12)
Away0W 2D 7L(7-17)
Hitachi Energy Arena

Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras · Capacity 8,900 · artificial turf · Referee: G. Nyberg

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 29'Victor Wernersson
  2. 40'L. Saetra
  3. 46'Victor Wernersson (J. Tagesson)
  4. 60'A. Magashy (M. Stolt)
  5. 60'M. Hallberg (E. Dall)
  6. 61'K. Gunnarsson (J. Magnusson)
  7. 61'A. Saidi (B. Lendambi)
  8. 70'S. Gefvert
  9. 73'J. Karlsson (M. Baggesen)
  10. 80'A. Almqvist (Z. Ravik)
  11. 85'S. Overby (M. Soderback)
  12. 90'M. Hellisdal (M. Abdi)

Lineups

Vasteras SK FKKalmar FF
2.3
Goals/game
2.2
0.8
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Vasteras SK FK win
36%
Draw
28%
Kalmar FF win
36%
64.8%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
22.3%Vasteras SK FK clean sheet
16.5%Kalmar FF clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive match, particularly as both teams are closely ranked in the standings. Vasteras SK FK has shown decent form at home and has a better recent scoring average compared to Kalmar FF, who are struggling on the road. Given the head-to-head history and current performance metrics, Vasteras SK FK may edge this match with a likely final score of 2-1.

  • Vasteras SK FK has won 2 of their last 5 matches and notably scored 4 goals in their last home game.
  • Kalmar FF is struggling with a poor away record, failing to win any of their 8 away matches this season.
  • Historically, the matches between these teams have been competitive, with two of the last four encountering a draw.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Vasteras SK FK

  • Good recent formVasteras SK FK

    Vasteras SK FK have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Poor recent formKalmar FF

    Kalmar FF have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Weak home recordVasteras SK FK

    Vasteras SK FK have won 3 of their last 9 home matches.

    3/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordKalmar FF

    Kalmar FF have won 0 of their last 9 away matches.

    0/9 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Vasteras SK FK at 36% — final result was a draw, Vasteras SK FK 0-0 Kalmar FF.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kalmar FF2.55market 39.2% · model 36%
Vasteras SK FK2.59market 38.6% · model 36%
Draw3.36market 29.8% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Vasteras SK FK have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kalmar FF have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Vasteras SK FK wins
1Draws
1Kalmar FF wins
9-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Vasteras SK FK2.59best 2.70
Draw3.36best 3.50
Kalmar FF2.55best 2.66

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.76best 1.81
Under 2.52.02best 2.07

Both teams to score

Yes1.59best 1.62
No2.21best 2.30

Double chance

Vasteras SK FK/Draw1.47best 1.55
Vasteras SK FK/Kalmar FF1.29best 1.31
Draw/Kalmar FF1.46best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Vasteras SK FK2.59 0.01
Draw3.36 0.01
Kalmar FF2.55 0.05
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Vasteras SK FK win+0.1pp
AI
36%
Market
35.9%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
28%
Market
27.7%
Kalmar FF win-0.4pp
AI
36%
Market
36.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Vasteras SK FK
18756-726LWLW
13
Kalmar FF
18549-719LLDW

Pre-match comparison

2.3Goals scored per game2.2
0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

G. Nyberg

3.94Yellow cards / game
0.18Red cards / game
0.18Penalties scored / game

Based on 17 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Vasteras SK FK

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

Kalmar FF

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
28.6%

More Allsvenskan predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF?+

Our AI model favors Vasteras SK FK to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 28%, Kalmar FF 36%).

Where is Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF played?+

The match is played at Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras (capacity 8,900).

What time does Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).