Verl vs Hamburger SV

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
Verl
03Full-time
Hamburger SV
WLLLGoals 7-12
WLDWGoals 21-23
Sportclub Arena

Sportclub Arena, Verl · Capacity 5,207 · grass · Referee: L. Erbst

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 32'T. Heike (A. Farouk)
  2. 41'Albert Grønbæk (Patson Daka)
  3. 46'Albert Grønbæk (L. Lemke)
  4. 47'Albert Grønbæk
  5. 50'L. Lemke (N. Remberg)
  6. 60'Albert Grønbæk (O. Stange)
  7. 60'Albert Sambi Lokonga (B. Nadir)
  8. 62'J. Eze (Y. Otto)
  9. 62'B. Yalcinkaya (A. Foti)
  10. 62'J. Berner (P. Lehmann)
  11. 69'N. Seidel (R. Araoye)
  12. 75'Nicolás Capaldo (R. Philippe)
  13. 75'L. Lemke (Yussuf Poulsen)
  14. 88'M. Adeline (J. Bissi Mouelle)

Lineups

VerlHamburger SV
1.4
Goals/game
2.1
2.4
Conceded/game
2.3

AI match analysis

Verl win
16.51%
Draw
17.35%
Hamburger SV win
66.14%
75.4%BTTS
77.6%Over 2.5
10.5%Verl clean sheet
15.7%Hamburger SV clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers suggest that Hamburger SV is in a much stronger position heading into this fixture, having recently performed well in away matches. In contrast, Verl's recent form is concerning, with four losses in their last five, which may hinder their ability to capitalize at home. The data indicates a likely win for the away team.

  • Hamburger SV unbeaten in their last 5 matches away from home with 3 wins and 2 draws
  • Verl has lost 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded
  • Verl has only won 1 of their last 5 games, indicating inconsistent form
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hamburger SV

  • Poor recent formVerl

    Verl have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackHamburger SV

    Hamburger SV are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseHamburger SV

    Hamburger SV are conceding just 2.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Hamburger SV at 66.14% — final result was Hamburger SV win, Verl 0-3 Hamburger SV.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hamburger SV1.41market 70.8% · model 66.14%
Draw4.98market 20.1% · model 17.35%
Verl6.03market 16.6% · model 16.51%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Verl have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 5 matches.
  • Hamburger SV have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Verl6.03best 7.00
Draw4.98best 5.45
Hamburger SV1.41best 1.48

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.35best 1.40
Under 2.52.95best 3.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.51best 1.55
No2.38best 2.50

Double chance

Verl/Draw2.75best 2.84
Verl/Hamburger SV1.14best 1.18
Draw/Hamburger SV1.11best 1.15

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.07best 1.07
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes9.00best 9.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Verl6.03 0.41
Draw4.98 0.51
Hamburger SV1.41 0.05
23 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

Verl win+1.1pp
AI
16.51%
Market
15.4%
Draw-1.3pp
AI
17.35%
Market
18.7%
Hamburger SV win+0.2pp
AI
66.14%
Market
65.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game2.1
2.4Goals conceded per game2.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 5 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Verl

0-15'
40%
16-30'
40%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Hamburger SV

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Verl vs Hamburger SV?+

Our AI model favors Hamburger SV to win, with a 66.14% probability (Draw 17.35%, Verl 16.51%).

Where is Verl vs Hamburger SV played?+

The match is played at Sportclub Arena, Verl (capacity 5,207).

What time does Verl vs Hamburger SV kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).