Viborg vs Aarhus

Superliga· Regular Season - 3
Viborg
21Full-time
Aarhus
DLLWGoals 15-162nd in league
WLLDGoals 16-1610th in league
Home3W 0D 0L(7-1)
Away0W 1D 1L(3-4)
Energi Viborg Arena

Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg · Capacity 9,566 · grass · Referee: M. Redder

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 11'M. Sondergaard (Ž. Zaletel)
  2. 31'F. Emmery (Markus Solbakken)
  3. 60'M. Sondergaard (Oliver Bundgaard)
  4. 61'S. Jalal (B. Brahimi)
  5. 61'T. Jørgensen (P. Keller)
  6. 61'M. Sondergaard (B. Brahimi)
  7. 61'S. Jalal (A. Beck)
  8. 61'M. Sondergaard (A. Beck)
  9. 62'Markus Solbakken (Magnus Knudsen)
  10. 62'T. Molgaard (Eric Kahl)
  11. 72'Janni Serra (J. Bogere)
  12. 72'M. Anderson (Tobias Bech)
  13. 76'Magnus Knudsen
  14. 84'C. Nouck (F. Damkjer)
  15. 85'J. Andersen (T. Kristjansson)
  16. 87'D. Hanza (A. Kleis-Kristoffersen)

Lineups

ViborgAarhus
1.5
Goals/game
1.6
1.6
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Viborg win
46%
Draw
26%
Aarhus win
28%
62.9%BTTS
61%Over 2.5
20.2%Viborg clean sheet
21.2%Aarhus clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests Aarhus has a strong historical advantage over Viborg, having secured victory in their last five head-to-head matches. Viborg's inconsistent form, characterized by a loss in their last encounter and a recent tendency to concede goals, may contribute to their challenge in this matchup.

  • Aarhus has won the last 5 encounters against Viborg with an aggregate score of 18-8.
  • Viborg's recent form includes a loss by 6-2 to Aarhus in their last meeting.
  • Viborg has a defensive average of 1.6 goals conceded per game over their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Viborg

  • Strong home recordViborg

    Viborg have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.

    3/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordAarhus

    Aarhus have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Historical edgeAarhus

    Aarhus have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionViborg

    Viborg sit 8 places above Aarhus in the table.

    #2 vs #10

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Viborg at 46% — final result was Viborg win, Viborg 2-1 Aarhus.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Viborg2.02market 49.6% · model 46%
Aarhus3.35market 29.9% · model 28%
Draw3.61market 27.7% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Viborg have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Aarhus have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Viborg wins
0Draws
7Aarhus wins
8-22Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Viborg2.02best 2.07
Draw3.61best 3.79
Aarhus3.35best 3.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.57best 1.66
Under 2.52.37best 2.48

Both teams to score

Yes1.48best 1.55
No2.48best 2.63

Double chance

Viborg/Draw1.30best 1.33
Viborg/Aarhus1.26best 1.29
Draw/Aarhus1.77best 1.82

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Viborg2.02 0.05
Draw3.61 0.06
Aarhus3.35 0.18
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Viborg win-0.3pp
AI
46%
Market
46.3%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
26%
Market
25.8%
Aarhus win+0.1pp
AI
28%
Market
27.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Viborg
5311+510WDLW
10
Aarhus
4031-13DLDD

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Redder

2.5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Viborg

0-15'
66.7%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
0%

Aarhus

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More Superliga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Viborg vs Aarhus?+

Our AI model favors Viborg to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 26%, Aarhus 28%).

Where is Viborg vs Aarhus played?+

The match is played at Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg (capacity 9,566).

What time does Viborg vs Aarhus kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).