Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro
Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza · Capacity 20,920 · grass · Referee: F. La Penna
Match events
- 17'M. D'Alessandro (G. Alesi)
- 39'Giuseppe Cuomo (F. Costa)
- 42'Pietro Iemmello
- 44'F. Alessio
- 51'B. Verrengia (Matias Antonini)
- 53'J. Petriccione
- 55'F. Costa
- 58'M. D'Alessandro (Mehdi Dorval)
- 62'M. Carraro (L. Zonta)
- 62'L. Caferri (Alessandro Pietrelli)
- 71'F. Alessio (Nicola Rauti)
- 73'Pietro Iemmello (F. Tchaouna)
- 76'G. Moncini (C. Morra)
- 76'F. Costa (T. Corazza)
- 80'Alessandro Pietrelli (T. Corazza)
- 82'N. Mosti (Samuel Giovane)
- 82'G. Alesi (F. Di Francesco)
- 82'N. Koffi (G. Arditi)
- 83'M. Ruggero
- 89'C. Morra (Nicola Rauti)
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive match between Vicenza and Catanzaro as both teams begin their respective seasons with no points. Historically, Vicenza's recent performances show them scoring and conceding evenly, while Catanzaro has a slightly better scoring rate. The numbers favor a close contest, potentially leading to a draw.
- Vicenza has averaged 1.1 goals scored in their last 10 matches.
- Catanzaro has averaged 1.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches.
- Both teams are starting their season with no points yet.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Vicenza Virtus
- Higher league positionVicenza Virtus
Vicenza Virtus sit 11 places above Catanzaro in the table.
#1 vs #12 - Poor recent formVicenza Virtus
Vicenza Virtus have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formCatanzaro
Catanzaro have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackCatanzaro
Catanzaro are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Vicenza Virtus at 39% — final result was Vicenza Virtus win, Vicenza Virtus 3-2 Catanzaro.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Vicenza Virtus have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Catanzaro have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vicenza Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
F. La Penna
Based on 12 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Vicenza Virtus
Catanzaro
More Serie B predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?+
Our AI model favors Vicenza Virtus to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 30%, Catanzaro 31%).
Where is Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro played?+
The match is played at Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza (capacity 20,920).
What time does Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).