Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun
Match events
- 6'Gylfi Sigurðsson
- 10'F. Fehr (N. Reichmuth)
- 16'Gylfi Sigurðsson (V. Andrason)
- 36'Brighton Labeau (N. Reichmuth)
- 38'S. Thordarson (K. Gunnarsson)
- 42'Michael Heule
- 47'M. Gutbub
- 47'O. Ekroth
- 55'V. Ingimundarson
- 58'V. Ingimundarson
- 61'Jan Bamert
- 63'A. Thrandarson (N. Hansen)
- 63'K. Gunnarsson (D. Atlason)
- 67'Gunnar Vatnhamar
- 72'S. Ottesen
- 75'A. Finnbogason (Dadi Jónsson)
- 79'N. Reichmuth (N. Maier)
- 79'Nassim Zoukit (F. Saiz)
- 83'M. Gutbub (Layton Stewart)
- 84'V. Matoshi
- 84'Brighton Labeau
- 88'Michael Heule (Nicolas Bürgy)
- 90+2'V. Ingimundarson (Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson)
- 2.1
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 2.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The numbers suggest a competitive match, with FC Thun displaying a stronger scoring capability despite their recent struggles in defense. Statistically, Vikingur Reykjavik's lower scoring rate combined with their higher goals conceded per match enhances the likelihood of an away victory. However, both teams have fluctuating form that leaves open the possibility for a surprise outcome.
- FC Thun has a higher scoring average of 1.6 goals per match compared to Vikingur Reykjavik's 1.1.
- Vikingur Reykjavik concedes an average of 1.3 goals per game, while FC Thun concedes 2.4.
- FC Thun's recent form indicates poor defensive stability with multiple high-scoring losses.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Vikingur Reykjavik
- Sharper attackFC Thun
FC Thun are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Tighter defenseVikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Vikingur Reykjavik at 42.71% — final result was Vikingur Reykjavik win, Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC Thun.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Vikingur Reykjavik have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Thun have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
L. M. Branco Godinho
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Vikingur Reykjavik
FC Thun
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?+
Our AI model favors Vikingur Reykjavik to win, with a 42.71% probability (Draw 24.11%, FC Thun 33.18%).
What time does Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).