Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik

Úrvalsdeild· Regular Season - 20
WWLLGoals 22-161st in league
LWLDGoals 17-258th in league
Home8W 2D 0L(33-8)
Away4W 0D 6L(15-17)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 14'J. Palsson
  2. 49'V. Ingimundarson (H. Magnusson)
  3. 62'H. Eyjólfsson (E. Sigurbjornsson)
  4. 63'H. Gunnarsson
  5. 69'H. Gudjonsson
  6. 71'H. Magnusson (A. Finnbogason)
  7. 72'N. Hansen (A. Thrandarson)
  8. 75'J. Jónsson
  9. 77'Gylfi Sigurðsson (D. Hafsteinsson)
  10. 80'K. Arnarsson
  11. 83'H. Gunnarsson (P. Pedersen)
  12. 86'T. Haraldsson
  13. 89'Gunnar Vatnhamar (R. Þorkelsson)
  14. 89'S. Thordarson (Dadi Jónsson)
  15. 90+1'S. Veseli (G. Heiddalur)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Vikingur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
2.2
Goals/game
1.7
1.6
Conceded/game
2.5

AI match analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik win
70%
Draw
16%
Valur Reykjavik win
14%
73.1%BTTS
76.2%Over 2.5
19.2%Vikingur Reykjavik clean sheet
9.5%Valur Reykjavik clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

Data suggests that Vikingur Reykjavik is in strong form, currently sitting at the top of the table and unbeaten at home this season. In contrast, Valur Reykjavik is struggling in both their recent performances and away record, which includes a series of poor defensive displays. The historical trend favors Vikingur, especially given their dominance in recent head-to-head matches.

  • Vikingur Reykjavik unbeaten in last 9 home games
  • Valur Reykjavik has conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • Vikingur Reykjavik has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Valur Reykjavik
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Vikingur Reykjavik

  • Tighter defenseVikingur Reykjavik

    Vikingur Reykjavik are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game conceded
  • Strong home recordVikingur Reykjavik

    Vikingur Reykjavik have won 8 of their last 10 home matches.

    8/10 home wins
  • Strong away recordValur Reykjavik

    Valur Reykjavik have won 4 of their last 10 away matches.

    4/10 away wins
  • Sharper attackVikingur Reykjavik

    Vikingur Reykjavik are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Vikingur Reykjavik at 70% — final result was Vikingur Reykjavik win, Vikingur Reykjavik 2-0 Valur Reykjavik.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Vikingur Reykjavik1.31market 76.5% · model 70%
Draw5.38market 18.6% · model 16%
Valur Reykjavik6.46market 15.5% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Vikingur Reykjavik have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Valur Reykjavik have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Vikingur Reykjavik wins
2Draws
2Valur Reykjavik wins
20-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Vikingur Reykjavik1.31best 1.34
Draw5.38best 5.80
Valur Reykjavik6.46best 7.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.21best 1.25
Under 2.53.67best 4.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.41best 1.50
No2.62best 2.77

Double chance

Vikingur Reykjavik/Draw1.08best 1.11
Vikingur Reykjavik/Valur Reykjavik1.11best 1.15
Draw/Valur Reykjavik3.07best 3.40

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.04best 1.04
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes9.00best 9.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Vikingur Reykjavik1.31 0.06
Draw5.38 0.62
Valur Reykjavik6.47 0.53
22 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Vikingur Reykjavik win+0.8pp
AI
70%
Market
69.2%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
16%
Market
16.8%
Valur Reykjavik win0pp
AI
14%
Market
14%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Vikingur Reykjavik
201631+4651WDDW
8
Valur Reykjavik
207211-723DWLL

Pre-match comparison

2.2Goals scored per game1.7
1.6Goals conceded per game2.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Vikingur Reykjavik

0-15'
0%
16-30'
18.2%
31-45'
36.4%
46-60'
27.3%
61-75'
9.1%
76-90+'
9.1%

Valur Reykjavik

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
42.9%

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik?+

Our AI model favors Vikingur Reykjavik to win, with a 70% probability (Draw 16%, Valur Reykjavik 14%).

What time does Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).