Vitor Petrino vs Serghei Spivac

UFC· UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues· Heavyweight· Main Event
WLLW
14-2-0 (W-L-D)8 KO, 2 SUB
Ht 188cmWt 112kgReach 197cmStance Orthodox
CM System
WLWL
Polar Bear18-6-0 (W-L-D)7 KO, 8 SUB
Ht 191cmWt 114kgReach 198cmStance Orthodox
Polar Bear
Today
Fight time
In Progress
Result

AI fight analysis

Vitor Petrino win
44%
Serghei Spivac win
56%

The data suggests that Spivac has the advantage with a higher overall winning percentage and more grappling finishes than Petrino. Despite similar heights and reach, Petrino's recent losses may impact his momentum compared to Spivac's recent success. The numbers favor Spivac's more varied finishing ability in this matchup.

  • Petrino has a reach of 197cm, slightly less than Spivac's 198cm
  • Spivac has a higher submission win rate, finishing 8 of 18 wins by submission compared to Petrino's 2
  • Petrino has lost his last two fights against notable opponents, while Spivac has won 4 of his last 5 fights
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
65/100

Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two fighters is moderate, and both fighters' career records and recent fight history are available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Serghei Spivac

  • More experiencedSerghei Spivac

    Serghei Spivac has fought 24 professional fights, 8 more than their opponent tonight.

    24 pro fights
  • Superior career recordVitor Petrino

    Vitor Petrino carries a 14-2 professional record, a 88% win rate.

    14-2
  • High finishing rateSerghei Spivac

    Serghei Spivac has finished 15 of 18 career wins by knockout or submission, a 83% finish rate.

    83% finish rate
  • Reach advantageSerghei Spivac

    Serghei Spivac has a 1cm reach advantage over their opponent, a real edge in striking exchanges at range.

    198cm reach

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 56% probability, so this is a closely-matched fight and confidence remains moderate.

Odds not available for this fight yet.

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Vitor Petrino vs Serghei Spivac?+

Our AI model favors Serghei Spivac to win, with a 56% probability (Vitor Petrino 44%).

What time does Vitor Petrino vs Serghei Spivac start?+

This fight took place on Aug 22, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What are the career records of Vitor Petrino and Serghei Spivac?+

Vitor Petrino is 14-2-0 (W-L-D). Serghei Spivac is 18-6-0 (W-L-D).