Washington Mystics W vs Minnesota Lynx W
Entertainment and Sports Arena
Value found
+2.6% edgeMinnesota Lynx W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 160 total points vs the market's 165.5 line — leans under by 5.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 16 | 25 | 17 | 84 | |
| 25 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 94 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 72-88
Data suggests that the Minnesota Lynx are in better form, boasting a solid road win rate and a recent average of 82.4 points scored in their last 10 games. Conversely, the Washington Mystics have struggled, with their home win rate at 50% and a tendency to allow more points than they score. Historically, the Lynx have had the upper hand in their matchups, which could factor into their performance.
- Minnesota Lynx W has a 60% win rate on the road this season.
- Washington Mystics W has lost 8 of their last 10 games, averaging only 72.8 points scored during that span.
- In head-to-head matchups, the Lynx have won 4 out of the last 5 games against the Mystics.
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Minnesota Lynx W
- Good recent formWashington Mystics W
Washington Mystics W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Sharper attackMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W are averaging 81.1 points scored per game over their recent matches.
81.1/game - Tighter defenseMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W are conceding just 80 points per game over their recent matches.
80/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Minnesota Lynx W at 60% — final result was Minnesota Lynx W win, Washington Mystics W 84-94 Minnesota Lynx W.
Predicted score was 72-88.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Washington Mystics W have averaged 83.6 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Minnesota Lynx W have averaged 81.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Mystics W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Minnesota Lynx W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Washington Mystics W | Minnesota Lynx W |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.02▼ | 1.81▲ |
| +0.5 | 2.02▼ | 1.81▲ |
| +1 | 1.97▲ | 1.81▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.90▼ | 1.87▲ |
| +2 | 1.83 | 1.96 |
| +2.5 | 1.82▼ | 1.94 |
| +3 | 1.73▼ | 2.06▼ |
| +3.5 | 1.77▼ | 2.02▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 163 | 1.75 | 2.02▲ |
| 164 | 1.78▼ | 1.99▲ |
| 164.5 | 1.77▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 165 | 1.86▼ | 1.91▲ |
| 165.5 | 1.86▲ | 1.89▲ |
| 166 | 1.97▼ | 1.82▲ |
| 166.5 | 1.95▼ | 1.80▼ |
| 167 | 1.99 | 1.77▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Washington Mystics W vs Minnesota Lynx W?+
Our AI model favors Minnesota Lynx W to win, with a 60% probability (Washington Mystics W 40%).
What time does Washington Mystics W vs Minnesota Lynx W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 21, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Washington Mystics W vs Minnesota Lynx W?+
Washington Mystics W: 26-16-25-17. Minnesota Lynx W: 25-24-26-19. Final: 84-94.

