Washington Mystics W vs Toronto Tempo W

NBA W
WWWLPts 836-8354th in Eastern Conference · 22-15
LLLLPts 740-8466th in Eastern Conference · 11-26
Home9W 11L(1564-1625)
Away0W 6L(485-578)

Entertainment and Sports Arena

Value found

+142.1% edge

Toronto Tempo W win

2.86AI fair odds
6.92Bookmaker odds
+142.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 151 total points vs the market's 168.5 line — leans under by 17.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Mystics W
2522222493
Toronto Tempo W
249232682

AI match analysis

Washington Mystics W win
65%
Toronto Tempo W win
35%

Predicted score: 73-78

Data suggests that while Washington Mystics have a home win rate of 45%, they are currently on a poor run of form, losing 8 of their last 10 matches. Conversely, Toronto Tempo, despite not winning away this season, has been scoring heavily in recent games, averaging nearly 93 points, though they have also struggled defensively. The estimated outcomes lean slightly in favor of Toronto based on their scoring potential, but Washington's home advantage plays a significant role.

  • Washington has lost 8 of its last 10 games, indicating struggles.
  • Toronto is yet to win on the road this season, with a 0% away win rate.
  • Toronto's last 3 games show a high-scoring trend, averaging 92.67 points but also allowing 100.67 points.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
55/100

Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and this game has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Washington Mystics W

  • Sharper attackToronto Tempo W

    Toronto Tempo W are averaging 82.2 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    82.2/game
  • Tighter defenseWashington Mystics W

    Washington Mystics W are conceding just 83.5 points per game over their recent matches.

    83.5/game conceded
  • Good recent formWashington Mystics W

    Washington Mystics W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formToronto Tempo W

    Toronto Tempo W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Washington Mystics W at 65% — final result was Washington Mystics W win, Washington Mystics W 93-82 Toronto Tempo W.

Predicted score was 73-78.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Washington Mystics W1.10market 91.1% · model 65%
Toronto Tempo W6.92market 14.5% · model 35%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Washington Mystics W have averaged 83.6 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Toronto Tempo W have averaged 82.2 points scored per game over their last 9 matches.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Washington Mystics W1.10best 1.12AI 65%
Toronto Tempo W6.92best 8.40AI 35%

Point spread

LineWashington Mystics WToronto Tempo W
-14.52.011.71
-141.971.72
-13.51.901.87
-131.931.87
-12.51.781.98
-121.792.01
-111.772.05
-101.732.10

Total points

LineOverUnder
167.51.791.96
1681.791.97
168.51.881.87
1691.861.90
169.51.941.81
1701.931.81
170.52.021.75
1711.981.77

Double chance

Draw/Away5.47
Home/Draw1.06

Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Washington Mystics W1.10 0.11
Toronto Tempo W6.92 2.44
19 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

Washington Mystics W win-21.3pp
AI
65%
Market
86.3%
Toronto Tempo W win+21.3pp
AI
35%
Market
13.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Match statistics

54%Field goal %45%
33%3-point %41%
86%Free throw %65%
43Rebounds27
23Assists18
5Steals5
4Blocks3
16Turnovers8
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

77.8Points scored per game82.2
84.1Points allowed per game94
48%Field goal %51%
33.9%3-point %32.4%
73.9%Free throw %78.2%
34.2Rebounds per game29.8
20.4Assists per game19.2
15.2Turnovers per game13.4

Based on each team's last 20 and 9 finished games.

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Washington Mystics W vs Toronto Tempo W?+

Our AI model favors Washington Mystics W to win, with a 65% probability (Toronto Tempo W 35%).

What time does Washington Mystics W vs Toronto Tempo W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 19, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Washington Mystics W vs Toronto Tempo W?+

Washington Mystics W: 25-22-22-24. Toronto Tempo W: 24-9-23-26. Final: 93-82.