Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 6
LLLLGoals 7-2715th in league
LDWDGoals 15-1011th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Away1W 0D 1L(2-2)
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM (stadium time)

Value found

+1.7% edge

Korona Kielce win

2.5AI fair odds
2.54Bookmaker odds
+1.7%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
0.7
Goals/game
1.5
2.7
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Wisla Plock win
30%
Draw
30%
Korona Kielce win
40%
50.2%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
12.2%Wisla Plock clean sheet
42.7%Korona Kielce clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The recent form indicates that Korona Kielce has been more consistent, with their unbeaten run in away matches bolstering their chances. In contrast, Wisla Plock has struggled with defensive issues, reflected in their average of 2.7 goals conceded per game during the last 10 matches. The numbers suggest a competitive match, but Korona Kielce may capitalize on Wisla Plock's vulnerabilities.

  • Korona Kielce unbeaten in last 4 away matches
  • Wisla Plock has a goal difference of -5 this season
  • Korona Kielce scored 1.5 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
72/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Korona Kielce

  • Poor recent formWisla Plock

    Wisla Plock have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Weak home recordWisla Plock

    Wisla Plock have won 0 of their last 1 home matches.

    0/1 home wins
  • Strong away recordKorona Kielce

    Korona Kielce have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.

    1/2 away wins
  • Tighter defenseKorona Kielce

    Korona Kielce are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

Match trends

  • Wisla Plock have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Korona Kielce have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Wisla Plock wins
1Draws
3Korona Kielce wins
14-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Wisla Plock2.67best 2.84
Draw3.24best 3.40
Korona Kielce2.54best 2.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.02best 2.08
Under 2.51.76best 1.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.77best 1.80
No1.96best 2.00

Double chance

Wisla Plock/Draw1.48best 1.53
Wisla Plock/Korona Kielce1.31best 1.36
Draw/Korona Kielce1.43best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.27best 3.30
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.31best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.23best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.31best 1.33

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Wisla Plock2.67 0.08
Draw3.24 0.14
Korona Kielce2.54 0.04
25 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Wisla Plock win-4.7pp
AI
30%
Market
34.7%
Draw+1.3pp
AI
30%
Market
28.7%
Korona Kielce win+3.4pp
AI
40%
Market
36.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
15
Wisla Plock
4112-54LLDW
11
Korona Kielce
412105DWDL

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.5
2.7Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Korona Kielce

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Ekstraklasa predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?+

Our AI model favors Korona Kielce to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, Wisla Plock 30%).

What time does Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).