Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
LLDWGoals 16-17
WWLWGoals 17-16
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'D. Abrangao
  2. 58'R. Ache
  3. 61'I. Johannesson (R. Ache)
  4. 71'P. Ochs (I. Franjic)
  5. 71'T. Kraus (J. Nischalke)
  6. 75'R. Ache (Linton Maina)
  7. 75'G. Mensah (E. Skhiri)
  8. 75'Jan Thielmann (Thijs Dallinga)
  9. 77'I. Johannesson (Jan Thielmann)
  10. 82'L. Lochoshvili (J. Schmied)
  11. 84'N. Embaye (X. Kiefersauer)
  12. 84'D. Kinsombi (E. Muteba)
  13. 86'E. Farahnak (Franck Evina)
  14. 89'S. El Mala (P. Okon-Engstler)
  15. 90'D. Abrangao

Lineups

Würzburger Kickers1. FC Köln
1.6
Goals/game
1.7
1.7
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Würzburger Kickers win
12%
Draw
17%
1. FC Köln win
71%
65.2%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
18.3%Würzburger Kickers clean sheet
20.2%1. FC Köln clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-3

Data suggests that 1. FC Köln enters this match in strong form, having won 4 of their last 5 games, while Würzburger Kickers have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match in their recent performances. The scoring averages further indicate Köln's edge, with both sides showing similar goal rates, but Köln's recent winning streak enhances their likelihood of success in this encounter. The numbers favor an away win with a predicted scoreline of 3-1.

  • Würzburger Kickers conceded 1.7 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • 1. FC Köln has won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • 1. FC Köln scored an average of 1.7 goals per game recently
  • Würzburger Kickers have struggled at home, losing 3 of their last 5 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors 1. FC Köln

  • Poor recent formWürzburger Kickers

    Würzburger Kickers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Good recent form1. FC Köln

    1. FC Köln have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attack1. FC Köln

    1. FC Köln are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defense1. FC Köln

    1. FC Köln are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked 1. FC Köln at 71% — final result was 1. FC Köln win, Würzburger Kickers 1-2 1. FC Köln.

Predicted score was 1-3.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

1. FC Köln1.30market 76.7% · model 71%
Draw5.48market 18.3% · model 17%
Würzburger Kickers8.01market 12.5% · model 12%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Würzburger Kickers have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • 1. FC Köln have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Würzburger Kickers8.01best 8.75
Draw5.48best 6.00
1. FC Köln1.30best 1.34

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.40best 1.44
Under 2.52.76best 2.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.70best 1.80
No2.04best 2.10

Double chance

Würzburger Kickers/Draw3.32best 3.50
Würzburger Kickers/1. FC Köln1.12best 1.15
Draw/1. FC Köln1.06best 1.10

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes11.00best 11.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.05best 1.05

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Würzburger Kickers8.01 0.49
Draw5.48 0.23
1. FC Köln1.30
23 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

Würzburger Kickers win+0.4pp
AI
12%
Market
11.6%
Draw0pp
AI
17%
Market
17%
1. FC Köln win-0.4pp
AI
71%
Market
71.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.7
1.7Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Petersen

4.5Yellow cards / game
0.75Red cards / game
4.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Würzburger Kickers

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
42.9%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln?+

Our AI model favors 1. FC Köln to win, with a 71% probability (Draw 17%, Würzburger Kickers 12%).

What time does Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).