Xorazm vs Lokomotiv

Super League· Regular Season - 18
Xorazm
13Full-time
Lokomotiv
LWDLGoals 13-1412th in league
LLLWGoals 12-175th in league
Home4W 1D 4L(10-13)
Away4W 1D 5L(15-16)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'Q. Abrayev
  2. 16'S. Khamidzhonov (S. Azimov)
  3. 19'S. Shodiboev
  4. 31'J. Nisic
  5. 46'U. Sultonov (Y. Degbe)
  6. 46'Q. Abrayev (S. Nurulloev)
  7. 47'S. Nurulloev
  8. 57'Rafael (N. Abdikholikov)
  9. 61'N. Ibraimov
  10. 70'N. Ibraimov (B. Tupliev)
  11. 70'M. Reimov (J. Yakhshiboev)
  12. 76'M. Rom
  13. 77'J. Yakhshiboev
  14. 79'S. Izzatov (N. Muzaffarov)
  15. 79'S. Azimov (D. Yejov)
  16. 85'Lohan (O. Olimov)
  17. 87'N. Ivanov
  18. 90+1'S. Shodiboev (I. Elichich)
  19. 90'N. Ivanov (O. Uktamov)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
XorazmLokomotiv
1.3
Goals/game
1.2
1.4
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Xorazm win
29%
Draw
28%
Lokomotiv win
43%
56.5%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
27.3%Xorazm clean sheet
22.3%Lokomotiv clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers favor Lokomotiv in this matchup, as they have shown resilience in their recent away performances. Xorazm's struggles continue, with only one win in their last five matches and a concerning goal difference. Additionally, Lokomotiv's recent tendency to score but also concede highlights a potentially high-scoring affair.

  • Lokomotiv unbeaten in last 2 away matches
  • Xorazm only 1 win in last 5 games
  • Xorazm has a negative goal difference of -8 this season
  • Lokomotiv has conceded an average of 1.7 goals per game recently.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lokomotiv

  • Poor recent formLokomotiv

    Lokomotiv have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Higher league positionLokomotiv

    Lokomotiv sit 7 places above Xorazm in the table.

    #5 vs #12
  • Strong home recordXorazm

    Xorazm have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.

    4/9 home wins
  • Strong away recordLokomotiv

    Lokomotiv have won 4 of their last 10 away matches.

    4/10 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Lokomotiv at 43% — final result was Lokomotiv win, Xorazm 1-3 Lokomotiv.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lokomotiv2.14market 46.8% · model 43%
Xorazm3.06market 32.7% · model 29%
Draw3.24market 30.8% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Xorazm have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Lokomotiv have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Xorazm3.06best 3.20
Draw3.24best 3.40
Lokomotiv2.14best 2.30

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.84best 1.88
Under 2.51.88best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.66best 1.70
No2.05best 2.10

Double chance

Xorazm/Draw1.61best 1.67
Xorazm/Lokomotiv1.27best 1.30
Draw/Lokomotiv1.30best 1.33

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Xorazm3.06 0.34
Draw3.24 0.06
Lokomotiv2.13 0.21
19 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Xorazm win-0.6pp
AI
29%
Market
29.6%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
28%
Market
27.9%
Lokomotiv win+0.5pp
AI
43%
Market
42.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Xorazm
19559-1120LDWL
5
Lokomotiv
19946+631WLWL

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Xorazm

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Lokomotiv

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
0%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Xorazm vs Lokomotiv?+

Our AI model favors Lokomotiv to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 28%, Xorazm 29%).

What time does Xorazm vs Lokomotiv kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).