Academica vs Feirense

Segunda Liga· Regular Season - 2
Academica
10Full-time
Feirense
LDWWGoals 10-151st in league
LDDLGoals 8-1117th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(1-0)
Away0W 0D 1L(0-1)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'D. Nketia (J. Monteiro)
  2. 25'P. H. de Oliveira da Silva
  3. 27'T. Antunes
  4. 36'L. Silva
  5. 41'Kaka
  6. 45+2'A. Lopes
  7. 46'A. Lopes (S. Popoola)
  8. 46'M. Tavares (H. Lopes)
  9. 46'T. Antunes (D. Moreno)
  10. 63'G. Santos (Arthur Viana)
  11. 64'P. H. de Oliveira da Silva (Tiago Castro)
  12. 66'A. Mane (P. Texel)
  13. 66'Marcos Paulo (João Oliveira)
  14. 69'A. Rodrigues (R. Gomes)
  15. 83'Goal Disallowed - video review
  16. 86'Edson Farias (H. Nunes)

Lineups

AcademicaFeirense
1.0
Goals/game
0.8
1.5
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Academica win
43.35%
Draw
29.71%
Feirense win
26.94%
44.4%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
31.7%Academica clean sheet
35%Feirense clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive match as Academica starts the season strong with a perfect record but has struggled to maintain consistency historically against Feirense, who has been more successful in their recent encounters. Both teams show modest scoring averages, indicating a potentially low-scoring match.

  • Academica ranked 1st in the league with a recent form of 1 win from 1 match
  • Feirense's average scoring is 0.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Historically, Feirense has dominated the recent head-to-head encounters with 4 wins in the last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Academica

  • Historical edgeFeirense

    Feirense have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionAcademica

    Academica sit 16 places above Feirense in the table.

    #1 vs #17
  • Tighter defenseFeirense

    Feirense are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded
  • Sharper attackAcademica

    Academica are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Academica at 43.35% — final result was Academica win, Academica 1-0 Feirense.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Academica2.16market 46.4% · model 43.35%
Draw3.13market 32% · model 29.71%
Feirense3.22market 31.1% · model 26.94%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Academica have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Feirense have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Academica wins
2Draws
5Feirense wins
7-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Academica2.16best 2.27
Draw3.13best 3.30
Feirense3.22best 3.54

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.21best 2.30
Under 2.51.61best 1.64

Both teams to score

Yes1.92best 2.00
No1.78best 1.83

Double chance

Academica/Draw1.30best 1.35
Academica/Feirense1.30best 1.35
Draw/Feirense1.61best 1.70

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Academica2.16 0.20
Draw3.13 0.03
Feirense3.22 0.40
12 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Academica win+1pp
AI
43.35%
Market
42.4%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
29.71%
Market
29.2%
Feirense win-1.5pp
AI
26.94%
Market
28.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Academica
3300+69WWW
17
Feirense
3012-21LLD

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game0.8
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Academica

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
28.6%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
28.6%

More Segunda Liga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Academica vs Feirense?+

Our AI model favors Academica to win, with a 43.35% probability (Draw 29.71%, Feirense 26.94%).

What time does Academica vs Feirense kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).