AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia
Value found
+4.6% edgeLevski Sofia win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 8'Luka Jović (L. Rota)
- 12'Barnabás Varga (F. Relvas)
- 29'Barnabás Varga (Lovro Majer)
- 52'R. Marin
- 54'R. Marin
- 63'Everton Bala (G. Trdin)
- 63'Reinaldo (J. Perea)
- 63'Maicon (D. Kusso)
- 72'A. Koita (Petros Mantalos)
- 75'S. Pilios
- 76'Armstrong Oko-Flex (M. Soula)
- 81'Barnabás Varga (Zini)
- 81'Lovro Majer (O. Zubkov)
- 81'Serginho (A. Mitkov)
- 86'Luka Jović (Mijat Gaćinović)
- 86'R. Marin (Kervin Arriaga)
- 89'Zini
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests a strong home advantage for AEK Athens, particularly due to their recent unbeaten home form, scoring 1.4 goals per game. Levski Sofia's impressive defensive record, with only 0.4 goals conceded per game lately, highlights the potential for a low-scoring encounter. Given their previous match ended in a draw, the odds slightly favor AEK Athens to edge this match with a narrow win.
- AEK Athens scoring 1.4 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Levski Sofia conceding only 0.4 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Recent head-to-head ended in a stalemate (0-0)
- AEK Athens has won their last 4 home matches, including two by a score of 4-0
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors AEK Athens FC
- Strong recent formLevski Sofia
Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Tighter defenseLevski Sofia
Levski Sofia are conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.4/game conceded - Sharper attackLevski Sofia
Levski Sofia are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked AEK Athens FC at 64% — final result was AEK Athens FC win, AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski Sofia.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- AEK Athens FC have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Levski Sofia have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
C. Turpin
Based on 24 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?+
Our AI model favors AEK Athens FC to win, with a 64% probability (Draw 22%, Levski Sofia 14%).
What time does AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).