Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC
Match events
- 58'L. Majer (P. Mandalos)
- 58'Luka Jović (B. Varga)
- 67'A. Oko-Flex (J. Perea)
- 79'Everton Bala (M. Soula)
- 79'Reinaldo (A. Mitkov)
- 82'A. Koita (M. Gacinovic)
- 82'A. Koita (O. Zubkov)
- 82'Zini (M. Gacinovic)
- 82'Zini (O. Zubkov)
- 89'Maicon (S. Stoyanchov)
- 89'A. Neves (Hevertton Santos)
Lineups
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup between Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC. Levski Sofia's recent trend of low-scoring games, averaging just 1.2 goals scored, pairs with AEK's struggles, conceding 1.5 goals on average over their last 10 matches. The drawn game rate for Levski could play a crucial role, making a draw a plausible outcome.
- Levski Sofia scored an average of 1.2 goals in their last 10 matches
- AEK Athens FC conceded an average of 1.5 goals in their last 10 matches
- Levski Sofia has drawn 2 of their last 5 matches
- AEK Athens FC has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors AEK Athens FC
- Poor recent formAEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseLevski Sofia
Levski Sofia are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded - Sharper attackLevski Sofia
Levski Sofia are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked AEK Athens FC at 41.86% — final result was a draw, Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FC.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Levski Sofia have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- AEK Athens FC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
G. Nyberg
Based on 16 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC
More UEFA Champions League predictions
Sabah FA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Lask Linz
Celtic
Bodo/Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
Viking
Dinamo ZagrebFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?+
Our AI model favors AEK Athens FC to win, with a 41.86% probability (Draw 31.47%, Levski Sofia 26.67%).
What time does Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).