Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh

Pro League· Regular Season - 1
Al-Ettifaq
42Full-time
Al Riyadh
DLWLGoals 15-136th in league
WLDWGoals 12-1811th in league
Home1W 0D 1L(6-5)
Away0W 1D 1L(5-7)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'Rodrigo Abascal
  2. 6'Rodrigo Abascal
  3. 11'Leandro Antunes (Muhammad Sahlouli)
  4. 11'Leandro Antunes (Faisal Al-Sobhi)
  5. 22'Moussa Dembélé (Álvaro Medrán)
  6. 42'V. Lekhal
  7. 45+5'T. Okou (B. Mensah)
  8. 46'Z. Al Ghamdi (K. Al Ghannam)
  9. 48'Ondrej Duda
  10. 54'Moussa Dembélé
  11. 55'Y. Al Shammari
  12. 56'B. Mensah
  13. 64'M. Gluščević (R. Messi)
  14. 64'Radhi Al-Oteibi (M. Al Alaeli)
  15. 70'V. Lekhal (H. Al Shurafa)
  16. 79'Y. Al Shammari (Bersant Celina)
  17. 79'R. Messi
  18. 81'T. Okou (H. Al Ali)
  19. 88'M. Al Olayan (A. Madu)
  20. 90+7'Moussa Dembélé (Moussa Dembélé)

Lineups

Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
1.5
Goals/game
1.2
1.3
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Al-Ettifaq win
45%
Draw
26%
Al Riyadh win
29%
57.6%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
28.7%Al-Ettifaq clean sheet
19.2%Al Riyadh clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Al-Ettifaq enters this match with a slight edge, having historically performed well against Al Riyadh in recent head-to-head matchups, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings. Al Riyadh's recent form shows vulnerability, particularly in away matches, where they have a higher average of goals conceded. Overall, Al-Ettifaq's recent unbeaten streak further supports their advantage in this upcoming encounter.

  • Al-Ettifaq unbeaten in last 5 matches (2W, 2D, 1L)
  • Al Riyadh has a weaker recent form with 2 losses in last 5 matches
  • Al-Ettifaq has historically won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Al Riyadh
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Al-Ettifaq

  • Higher league positionAl-Ettifaq

    Al-Ettifaq sit 5 places above Al Riyadh in the table.

    #6 vs #11
  • Tighter defenseAl-Ettifaq

    Al-Ettifaq are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded
  • Historical edgeAl-Ettifaq

    Al-Ettifaq have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    3/6 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formAl-Ettifaq

    Al-Ettifaq have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Al-Ettifaq at 45% — final result was Al-Ettifaq win, Al-Ettifaq 4-2 Al Riyadh.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Al-Ettifaq2.05market 48.7% · model 45%
Al Riyadh3.18market 31.5% · model 29%
Draw3.53market 28.3% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Al-Ettifaq have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Al Riyadh have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Al-Ettifaq wins
1Draws
2Al Riyadh wins
6-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Al-Ettifaq2.05best 2.11
Draw3.53best 3.70
Al Riyadh3.18best 3.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.60best 1.63
Under 2.52.27best 2.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.50best 1.53
No2.40best 2.50

Double chance

Al-Ettifaq/Draw1.31best 1.34
Al-Ettifaq/Al Riyadh1.25best 1.29
Draw/Al Riyadh1.71best 1.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Al-Ettifaq2.05 0.05
Draw3.53 0.22
Al Riyadh3.18 0.18
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Al-Ettifaq win+0.1pp
AI
45%
Market
44.9%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
26%
Market
26.1%
Al Riyadh win0pp
AI
29%
Market
29%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Al-Ettifaq
3201+26LWW
11
Al Riyadh
4112-54WDLL

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Al-Ettifaq

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Al Riyadh

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More Pro League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh?+

Our AI model favors Al-Ettifaq to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 26%, Al Riyadh 29%).

What time does Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).