Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh · Capacity 15,000 · artificial turf
Match events
- 18'A. Al Amri (Ângelo)
- 45+1'Ângelo
- 58'João Félix
- 62'S. Hazazi (H. A. Bahri E.)
- 62'T. Okou (M. Fall)
- 62'Abdullah Alhamddan (Cristiano Ronaldo)
- 75'A. Al Khaibari (A. Al Hassan)
- 75'Sadio Mané (A. Yahya)
- 75'A. Al Amri (N. Al Sharari)
- 76'F. Al Jayzani (H. Al Ali)
- 83'H. Majrashi (F. Al Sobhi)
- 83'Leandro Antunes (H. Al Raqwani)
- 83'Cristiano Ronaldo (A. Yahya)
- 85'João Félix (S. Al Najei)
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 2.8
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-3
The data suggests that Al-Nassr enters this match in strong form, having won their last match with a significant scoring average of 2.8 goals per game. Conversely, Al Riyadh has struggled recently, losing their last match and having a poor goal difference. Historically, Al-Nassr has dominated this fixture, which further favors their chances of winning.
- Al-Nassr has won 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Al Riyadh has a negative goal difference after 1 match.
- Historically, Al-Nassr has dominated recent encounters with Al Riyadh.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Al-Nassr
- Historical edgeAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr have won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
5/6 H2H wins - Higher league positionAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr sit 16 places above Al Riyadh in the table.
#2 vs #18 - Sharper attackAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr are averaging 2.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game - Tighter defenseAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Al-Nassr at 76% — final result was Al-Nassr win, Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Nassr.
Predicted score was 1-3.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Al Riyadh have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Al-Nassr have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
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Al-NassrFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?+
Our AI model favors Al-Nassr to win, with a 76% probability (Draw 15%, Al Riyadh 9%).
Where is Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr played?+
The match is played at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh (capacity 15,000).
What time does Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).