Antwerp vs Genk — Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League· Regular Season - 3

Antwerp

4–4Full-time

Genk

WWDWWWGoals 15-134th in league

DDWLLWGoals 11-89th in league

Home1W 1D 0L(6-5)

Away0W 1D 1L(5-6)

Match events

16'Anthony Valencia (Christopher Scott)
31'Josue Ndenge Kongolo (Ibrahima Sory Bangoura)
36'Marvin Compper
46'Luis Narh (Ibrahim Salah)
46'Anthony Valencia (Carlos Mejia)
48'Rafiu Durosinmi (Jeppe Erenbjerg)
57'A. Yokoyama (Jeppe Erenbjerg)
59'Xander Dierckx (Modibo Fofana)
65'Luca Schelfhout (Snayder Porozo)
69'Rafiu Durosinmi (Aaron Bibout)
69'A. Yokoyama (Jerry Afriyie)
70'Aaron Bibout (Jerry Afriyie)
75'Jeppe Erenbjerg (Daan Heymans)
78'Christopher Scott (Louie Van Gelder)
79'Daan Heymans
80'E. Tuypens (Thibo Somers)
81'Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
86'Michael Frey (Carlos Mejia)
90'J. Ito (Nikolas Sattlberger)

Lineups

Antwerp

Genk

4-4-2

4-2-3-1

Marvin CompperCoach

Jess Thorup

Bench (10)

Bench (9)

AI match analysis

Antwerp win

28%

Draw

27%

Genk win

45%

47.8%BTTS

41.7%Over 2.5

30.1%Antwerp clean sheet

31.7%Genk clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests a competitive match, with Genk holding a slight edge based on their head-to-head history against Antwerp, remaining unbeaten in their previous five encounters. Despite Antwerp's solid start to the season, their recent match statistics indicate vulnerabilities, particularly in conceding goals, while Genk's recent scoring capabilities appear stronger. The predicted score leans towards a close contest in favor of the away team.

Genk unbeaten in last 5 matches against Antwerp
Antwerp's recent home form shows 1 win from 1 match
Genk has a stronger recent away record compared to Antwerp's recent form
Antwerp has a goal difference of +4 after 2 matches, indicating strong offense

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Genk

Strong home recordAntwerp
Antwerp have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins
Weak away recordGenk
Genk have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins
Tighter defenseGenk
Genk are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Higher league positionAntwerp
Antwerp sit 5 places above Genk in the table.
#4 vs #9

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Genk at 45% — final result was a draw, Antwerp 4-4 Genk.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Genk2.06market 48.5% · model 45%

Antwerp3.37market 29.7% · model 28%

Draw ✓3.47market 28.8% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Antwerp have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Genk have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Antwerp wins

4Draws

2Genk wins

9-8Goals

Genk

0–0May 19, 2026, 6:30 PM

Antwerp

1–2Apr 3, 2026, 6:45 PM

Genk

Antwerp

3–0Dec 7, 2025, 5:30 PM

Genk

1–1Aug 3, 2025, 11:30 AM

Antwerp

Genk

0–1Apr 27, 2025, 2:00 PM

Antwerp

1–1Apr 23, 2025, 6:30 PM

Genk

Antwerp

2–2Dec 26, 2024, 12:30 PM

Genk

2–0Nov 3, 2024, 12:30 PM

Antwerp

Odds comparison

Match winner

Antwerp3.37▲best 3.66

Draw3.47▲best 3.63

Genk2.06▼best 2.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.74▼best 1.83

Under 2.52.06▲best 2.16

Both teams to score

Yes1.61▼best 1.67

No2.18▲best 2.25

Double chance

Antwerp/Draw1.73▲best 1.78

Antwerp/Genk1.28▼best 1.30

Draw/Genk1.30▼best 1.36

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.22best 1.22

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Antwerp3.37▲ 0.24

Draw3.47▲ 0.13

Genk2.06▼ 0.10

19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Antwerp win+0.3pp

AI

28%

Market

27.7%

Draw+0.1pp

AI

27%

Market

26.9%

Genk win-0.3pp

AI

45%

Market

45.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
4	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+4	7	DWW
9	Genk	3	1	1	1	0	4	DWL

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.1

1.3Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Jasper Vergoote

1.5Yellow cards / game

0Red cards / game

0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Antwerp

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

20%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

40%

76-90+'

40%

Genk

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

75%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

0%

76-90+'

25%

Match statistics

45%Possession55%

0.73Expected goals (xG)1.3

1Shots on target7

10Total shots11

7Shots off target1

2Blocked shots3

5Shots inside the box7

5Shots outside the box4

4Corners4

1Offsides1

14Fouls9

0Yellow cards1

—Red cards—

3Goalkeeper saves0

310Total passes395

257Accurate passes319

83%Pass accuracy81%

Player ratings

1Josue Ndenge KongoloGenk⚽ 17.9
2Anthony ValenciaAntwerp⚽ 17.9
3Jeppe ErenbjergGenk🅰️ 27.7
4Matte SmetsGenk7.5
5Rafiu DurosinmiGenk⚽ 17.3
6Aaron BiboutGenk⚽ 17.2

Box score

Antwerp

28Luca SchelfhoutD · 65'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes23%

Tackles6

Duels64%

27

27E. Tuypens—

—

9Michael FreyF · 79'

6.9

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes11%

Tackles1

Duels75%

7Anthony ValenciaM · 45'

⚽ 17.9

More stats

Shots1/3 on target

Passes21%

Tackles—

Duels50%

24Thibo Somers (C)D · 79'

5.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes15%

Tackles2

Duels50%

30Christopher ScottM · 78'

🅰️ 16.9

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes24%

Tackles1

Duels60%

41Taishi Brandon NozawaG · 79'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes13%

Tackles—

Duels100%

4Yuto TsunashimaD · 79'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes38%

Tackles1

Duels50%

20Rein Van HeldenD · 79'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes40%

Tackles1

Duels60%

14Xander DierckxM · 59'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes7%

Tackles—

Duels14%

99Luis NarhF · 45'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes3%

Tackles—

Duels0%

27Eran TuypensM · 79'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes30%

Tackles1

Duels50%

Bench (10)

17Semm RendersD

—

80Carlos MejiaF · 34'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes12%

Tackles—

Duels25%

25Modibo FofanaM · 20'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes6%

Tackles—

Duels50%

77Ibrahim SalahF · 34'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes11%

Tackles1

Duels25%

11Geoffry HairemansM

—

44

44M. BusiD

—

33Snayder PorozoM · 14'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels0%

81Niels DevalckeneerG

—

16Louie Van GelderM · 1'

—

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels—

81

81N. Devalckeneer—

—

Genk

17Rafiu DurosinmiF · 69'

⚽ 17.3

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes10%

Tackles2

Duels44%

10

10J. ItoM · 79'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes24%

Tackles2

Duels67%

77Zakaria El OuahdiD · 79'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes18%

Tackles—

Duels38%

18

18J. KayembeD · 79'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes38%

Tackles4

Duels60%

30

30A. YokoyamaM · 69'

⚽ 17.2

More stats

Shots2/2 on target

Passes25%

Tackles1

Duels43%

44Josue Ndenge KongoloD · 79'

⚽ 17.9

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes42%

Tackles3

Duels71%

11Jeppe ErenbjergM · 75'

🅰️ 27.7

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes36%

Tackles2

Duels50%

28Lucca BrughmansG · 79'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes19%

Tackles—

Duels—

21Ibrahima Sory BangouraM · 79'

🅰️ 16.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes25%

Tackles—

Duels50%

8Bryan Heynen (C)M · 79'

7.2

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes42%

Tackles2

Duels63%

6Matte SmetsD · 79'

7.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes37%

Tackles2

Duels80%

Bench (9)

38Daan HeymansM · 4'

🟨—

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels0%

23Aaron BiboutF · 10'

⚽ 17.2

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels50%

19Yaimar MedinaD

—

29Robin MirisolaF

—

24Nikolas SattlbergerM

—

26Tobias Okiki LawalG

—

32Noah Adedeji-SternbergF

—

20Kevin AmaroD

—

33Jerry AfriyieF · 10'

🅰️ 16.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels50%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Antwerp vs Genk?+

Our AI model favors Genk to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 27%, Antwerp 28%).

What time does Antwerp vs Genk kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).