Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova
Match events
- 49'N. Bancu
- 62'T. Băluţă (Samuel Teles)
- 70'Benny (Franca Carlos)
- 72'A. Al Hamlawi (S. Nsimba)
- 78'Zidane Banjaqui (Z. Shaghoyan)
- 78'A. Serobyan (J. A. Balanta)
- 80'Bruno Wilson
- 90+2'K. Muradyan (Maxence Carlier)
- 90+2'H. Oliveira (Maxence Carlier)
- 90+2'H. Oliveira (A. Tera)
- 90+3'S. Nsimba
- 90+5'Sandro Lima (Sandro Lima)
- 90+8'Samuel Teles
- 90'S. Baiaram (M. Etim)
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 0.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup given that both teams have drawn in their last encounter. Universitatea Craiova's strong recent form, alongside their ability to limit opposition scoring to an average of 0.6 goals against in the last 10 matches, positions them favorably. However, Ararat-Armenia's home scoring average of 1.5 goals indicates they could also find the net, leading to a likely draw.
- Universitatea Craiova unbeaten in last 4 matches
- Ararat-Armenia has scored an average of 1.5 goals in last 10 matches
- Both teams have drawn in their last head-to-head meeting
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Universitatea Craiova
- Sharper attackArarat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Tighter defenseUniversitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Universitatea Craiova at 49.99% — final result was Ararat-Armenia win, Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Ararat-Armenia have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?+
Our AI model favors Universitatea Craiova to win, with a 49.99% probability (Draw 28.18%, Ararat-Armenia 21.83%).
What time does Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).