Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia
Value found
+4.5% edgeArarat-Armenia win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 21'Alexandros Malis (H. Oliveira)
- 33'N. Bancu (A. Cicâldău)
- 39'David Matei
- 48'Oleksandr Romanchuk
- 63'Goal Disallowed - offside — Sandro Lima
- 63'David Matei (M. Etim)
- 63'A. Al Hamlawi (S. Nsimba)
- 63'Sandro Lima (Benny)
- 69'Benny (Franca Carlos)
- 69'A. Rus
- 69'A. Cicâldău (Samuel Teles)
- 76'H. Oliveira (J. A. Balanta)
- 78'M. Etim
- 82'K. Muradyan (M. Carlier)
- 82'A. Serobyan (A. Tera)
- 82'Zidane Banjaqui (Z. Shaghoyan)
- 85'A. Mekvabishvili (T. Băluţă)
- 85'S. Baiaram (Luca Băsceanu)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
The data suggests a strong performance from Universitatea Craiova, especially at home, where they have been unbeaten in their last three matches. In contrast, Ararat-Armenia has struggled recently, with three losses in their last five games, which could impact their confidence. With both teams' scoring and conceding averages, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for the home side.
- Universitatea Craiova unbeaten in last 3 home matches
- Ararat-Armenia lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Universitatea Craiova averages 1.1 goals scored per match in last 10 games, showing solid home form
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Universitatea Craiova
- Sharper attackArarat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Good recent formArarat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Tighter defenseUniversitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Universitatea Craiova at 68% — final result was a draw, Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Universitatea Craiova have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Ararat-Armenia have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Universitatea Craiova
Ararat-Armenia
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?+
Our AI model favors Universitatea Craiova to win, with a 68% probability (Draw 20%, Ararat-Armenia 12%).
What time does Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).