Athletic Club vs CRB

Serie B· Regular Season - 23
Athletic Club
02Full-time
CRB
WWWLGoals 13-1510th in league
LWDLGoals 11-117th in league
Home5W 4D 4L(12-13)
Away6W 3D 4L(17-20)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'Zeca (Diogo Batista)
  2. 33'Dadá Belmonte (Crystopher)
  3. 46'Carlinhos (W. Aponza)
  4. 46'J. Pool (Yago Santos)
  5. 46'Jota (D. Vera)
  6. 56'Mikael (Daniel)
  7. 63'Crystopher (Patrick)
  8. 63'Kevin (Hereda)
  9. 65'W. Aponza
  10. 69'Thiaguinho
  11. 73'Jhonathan (Gian Cabezas)
  12. 74'Thiaguinho (Geovane)
  13. 77'Patrick (Vinicius Barata)
  14. 79'Daniel (Fábio Alemão)
  15. 90'Max
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Athletic ClubCRB
1.3
Goals/game
1.1
1.5
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Athletic Club win
36.88%
Draw
31.46%
CRB win
31.66%
50.8%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
27.3%Athletic Club clean sheet
30.1%CRB clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely contested match between Athletic Club and CRB, as both teams are in decent form. Athletic Club, unbeaten in their last five games, may leverage their home advantage, but historical head-to-head results favor CRB. The scoring averages show both teams are capable of finding the net, suggesting a likely draw.

  • Athletic Club unbeaten in last 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw
  • CRB has drawn 2 of their last 5 matches, including their last match
  • Head-to-head history favors CRB, with 3 wins in the last 3 encounters
  • Both teams are closely matched in league standings, separated by only 1 point
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Athletic Club

  • Historical edgeCRB

    CRB have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.

    3/3 H2H wins
  • Good recent formAthletic Club

    Athletic Club have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackAthletic Club

    Athletic Club are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Tighter defenseCRB

    CRB are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Athletic Club at 36.88% — final result was CRB win, Athletic Club 0-2 CRB.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Athletic Club2.45market 40.9% · model 36.88%
CRB2.95market 33.8% · model 31.66%
Draw3.03market 33% · model 31.46%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Athletic Club have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • CRB have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Athletic Club wins
0Draws
3CRB wins
1-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Athletic Club2.45best 2.63
Draw3.03best 3.20
CRB2.95best 3.15

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.29best 2.42
Under 2.51.58best 1.64

Both teams to score

Yes1.92best 2.00
No1.79best 1.84

Double chance

Athletic Club/Draw1.36best 1.40
Athletic Club/CRB1.34best 1.36
Draw/CRB1.51best 1.61

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Athletic Club2.45 0.05
Draw3.03
CRB2.95 0.10
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Athletic Club win-1pp
AI
36.88%
Market
37.9%
Draw+0.9pp
AI
31.46%
Market
30.6%
CRB win+0.3pp
AI
31.66%
Market
31.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Athletic Club
248106034LWWD
7
CRB
241068+136WDWW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.1
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Athletic Club

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
42.9%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
14.3%

CRB

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Athletic Club vs CRB?+

Our AI model favors Athletic Club to win, with a 36.88% probability (Draw 31.46%, CRB 31.66%).

What time does Athletic Club vs CRB kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 10:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).