Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies

MLB
WWWWRuns 30-301st in NL East Division · 78-55
WWLLRuns 40-615th in NL West Division · 52-81
Home11W 9L(80-85)
Away7W 13L(78-114)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves
031020006140
Colorado Rockies
0000301004120

AI match analysis

Atlanta Braves win
67%
Colorado Rockies win
33%

Predicted score: 4-2

Data suggests Atlanta Braves have a significant edge in this matchup given their higher performance metrics and home advantage, alongside Colorado's struggles on the road. The statistics regarding their recent form indicate Atlanta's consistent ability to limit runs, while Colorado has shown vulnerability in both scoring and allowing runs. The numbers favor Atlanta for a win.

  • Atlanta has a 50% home win rate this season.
  • Colorado has a 35% away win rate this season.
  • In their last 10 games, Atlanta has averaged 2.6 runs scored and 3 runs allowed per game, while Colorado averaged 4.1 runs scored and 6.6 runs allowed per game.
  • Historically, Atlanta leads their recent head-to-head matchups with a strong record against Colorado.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
95/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atlanta Braves

  • Tighter defenseAtlanta Braves

    Atlanta Braves are conceding just 3 runs per game over their recent matches.

    3/game conceded
  • Higher league positionAtlanta Braves

    Atlanta Braves sit 4 places above Colorado Rockies in the table.

    #1 vs #5
  • Sharper attackColorado Rockies

    Colorado Rockies are averaging 4 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    4/game
  • Strong recent formAtlanta Braves

    Atlanta Braves are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Atlanta Braves at 67% — final result was Atlanta Braves win, Atlanta Braves 6-4 Colorado Rockies.

Predicted score was 4-2.

This was a high confidence pick (95/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atlanta Braves1.43market 69.8% · model 67%
Colorado Rockies2.89market 34.6% · model 33%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Atlanta Braves have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Colorado Rockies have averaged 4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Atlanta Braves are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Colorado Rockies.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Atlanta Braves1.43best 1.46AI 67%
Colorado Rockies2.89best 3.05AI 33%

Point spread

LineAtlanta BravesColorado Rockies
-43.781.22
-3.53.131.34
-32.761.43
-2.52.371.56
-22.161.68
-1.51.911.90
-11.582.35
+11.283.51

Total points

LineOverUnder
7.51.522.47
81.602.29
8.51.762.07
91.931.87
9.52.121.69
102.331.58
10.52.521.50
112.881.37

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Atlanta Braves1.43 0.01
Colorado Rockies2.89 0.08
28 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Atlanta Braves win+0.1pp
AI
67%
Market
66.9%
Colorado Rockies win-0.1pp
AI
33%
Market
33.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Atlanta Braves wins
2Colorado Rockies wins
26-19Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies?+

Our AI model favors Atlanta Braves to win, with a 67% probability (Colorado Rockies 33%).

What time does Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies start?+

First pitch is at Aug 28, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies?+

Atlanta Braves: 0, 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0. Colorado Rockies: 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 6-4.