New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

MLB
WLWLRuns 49-332nd in AL East Division · 75-57
WWWLRuns 54-393rd in AL East Division · 73-60
Home14W 6L(98-62)
Away9W 11L(79-77)
Kicks off in
Today
First pitch
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Final

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

New York Yankees win
64%
Boston Red Sox win
36%

Predicted score: 5-3

The data suggests the New York Yankees have a solid chance of winning against the Boston Red Sox, bolstered by a 70% home win rate this season and a strong recent head-to-head record, winning 4 out of their last 5 matchups. The Yankees' recent form shows an average of only 3.3 runs allowed per game, enhancing their position. In contrast, the Red Sox's struggles with a 45% away win rate further favor the Yankees in this matchup.

  • New York Yankees have a 70% home win rate this season.
  • Yankees have won 4 of the last 5 matchups against the Red Sox.
  • Boston Red Sox have a 45% away win rate this season.
  • Yankees allow an average of 3.3 runs per game in their last 10 games.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors New York Yankees

  • Strong home recordNew York Yankees

    New York Yankees have won 14 of their last 20 home matches.

    14/20 home wins
  • Strong away recordBoston Red Sox

    Boston Red Sox have won 9 of their last 20 away matches.

    9/20 away wins
  • Tighter defenseNew York Yankees

    New York Yankees are conceding just 3.3 runs per game over their recent matches.

    3.3/game conceded
  • Historical edgeNew York Yankees

    New York Yankees have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Match trends

  • New York Yankees have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Boston Red Sox have averaged 5.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • New York Yankees are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Boston Red Sox.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3New York Yankees wins
2Boston Red Sox wins
18-15Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox?+

Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 64% probability (Boston Red Sox 36%).

What time does New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox start?+

First pitch is at Aug 29, 2026, 5:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).