Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Match events
- 13'T. Jacob (Miguel Almirón)
- 22'Emir Karić
- 24'Fafà Picault (E. Baez)
- 45+2'Jacob Davis (Justin Reynolds)
- 62'Emir Karić (Jayden Reid)
- 62'T. Calheira (Stephen Afrifa)
- 62'Fafà Picault (W. Reilly)
- 62'A. Gill (Luke Brennan)
- 70'Stephen Afrifa
- 72'Luke Brennan
- 73'Paulo Díaz (Stian Gregersen)
- 76'E. Baez
- 77'C. Sanchez (S. Alzate)
- 77'Luke Brennan (Matthew Edwards)
- 87'Capita (J. Bartlett)
Lineups
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Atlanta United FC, having secured wins in their last two home fixtures, will look to capitalize on Sporting Kansas City's struggles, particularly away, where they have yet to win this season. The recent scoring averages also highlight that while Atlanta scores approximately 1.1 goals per match, Sporting Kansas City has struggled with a mere 1 goal while conceding 2.3, indicating a possible advantage for the home side.
- Atlanta United FC unbeaten in last 2 home games
- Sporting Kansas City winless in last 8 away matches
- Atlanta United FC has a better goals-per-game ratio at home than Sporting Kansas City does away
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Atlanta United FC
- Poor recent formSporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Tighter defenseAtlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game conceded - Historical edgeAtlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Strong home recordAtlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC have won 4 of their last 10 home matches.
4/10 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Atlanta United FC at 56% — final result was Atlanta United FC win, Atlanta United FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas City.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (95/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Atlanta United FC have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sporting Kansas City have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Atlanta United FC | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -11 | 21 | WWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -31 | 15 | DLLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
T. Penso
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Atlanta United FC
Sporting Kansas City
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?+
Our AI model favors Atlanta United FC to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 22%, Sporting Kansas City 22%).
What time does Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).