Atlas vs Tigres UANL
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara · Capacity 56,713 · grass · Referee: C. A. Ramos
Match events
- 2'Manuel Capasso (A. Gonzalez)
- 21'Juan Brunetta (R. Aguirre)
- 22'V. H. Rios De Alba
- 35'Manuel Capasso
- 46'V. H. Rios De Alba (P. Ramirez)
- 56'J. Garza
- 65'A. Gonzalez (L. Esteves)
- 65'J. Martin (J. Rodriguez)
- 70'J. Sánchez
- 71'Duk (G. Aguirre)
- 80'F. Reyes (Vladimir Loroña)
- 80'Alan Javier Franco (J. Vigon)
- 81'L. Esteves (E. Zaldivar)
- 85'Juan Brunetta (Juan Brunetta)
- 88'Joaquim (D. Ramirez)
- 90'Diego Lainez (I. Galvan)
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Atlas has struggled recently, losing 5 of their last 6 matches, which may impact their home advantage. Conversely, Tigres UANL has not fared much better, failing to register a win away this season, but they do have a recent positive trend against Atlas in their last meetings. The predicted score reflects a close contest, likely favoring Tigres slightly given their head-to-head advantage.
- Atlas has lost 5 of their last 6 matches overall.
- Tigres UANL has not won any of their last 2 away games this season.
- Historically, the last 5 matches between these teams show a fairly even split, although Tigres has secured 3 wins.
- Atlas has a -0.8 goal difference, while Tigres' is -3.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Tigres UANL
- Higher league positionAtlas
Atlas sit 13 places above Tigres UANL in the table.
#2 vs #15 - Tighter defenseTigres UANL
Tigres UANL are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Historical edgeTigres UANL
Tigres UANL have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formAtlas
Atlas have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Tigres UANL at 41.18% — final result was Atlas win, Atlas 2-1 Tigres UANL.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Atlas have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Tigres UANL have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Tigres UANL
AtlasAtlasTigres UANLAtlasTigres UANLTigres UANLAtlasTigres UANLAtlasAtlasTigres UANLAtlasTigres UANLTigres UANLAtlasOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 | WLWW |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 | LLDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Atlas
Tigres UANL
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Who is likely to win Atlas vs Tigres UANL?+
Our AI model favors Tigres UANL to win, with a 41.18% probability (Draw 29.59%, Atlas 29.23%).
Where is Atlas vs Tigres UANL played?+
The match is played at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara (capacity 56,713).
What time does Atlas vs Tigres UANL kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).