Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC

Liga Nacional· Apertura - 4
LWLLGoals 15-209th in league
WLDLGoals 10-1511th in league
Home1W 0D 1L(2-1)
Away0W 0D 2L(0-5)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'E. Garcia
  2. 9'A. Fajardo (A. Fajardo)
  3. 29'B. Santos
  4. 34'Alvarado (O. Zamora)
  5. 35'A. Villatoro
  6. 39'E. Florez
  7. 39'M. Salinas
  8. 45+2'A. Villatoro
  9. 46'P. Garate Rojas (A. Portillo)
  10. 46'M. Arzu (C. Gutierrez)
  11. 52'A. Villatoro
  12. 53'A. Portillo
  13. 62'L. Ferreira (K. Alvarez)
  14. 69'E. Urbina (Y. Jasid Arzu Marin)
  15. 69'J. Palacios (I. Osorio)
  16. 69'J. Palacios (Y. Degbe)
  17. 76'C. Gutierrez
  18. 77'E. Florez (I. Arias)
  19. 77'J. Canales (H. J. Nunez Ramirez)
  20. 79'J. Funes (J. Castillo Marin)
  21. 86'O. Zamora
  22. 86'J. Barrios

Lineups

Atlético CholomaPlatense FC
1.5
Goals/game
1.0
2.0
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Atlético Choloma win
40%
Draw
30%
Platense FC win
30%
60.4%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
22.3%Atlético Choloma clean sheet
22.3%Platense FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup, with both teams struggling for form. Atlético Choloma has not secured a point in their opening three matches, while Platense FC only recently claimed their first point. Historically, encounters between these teams have tended to yield low scores, hinting at a potential draw.

  • Atlético Choloma has lost their last 3 matches and is yet to win this season.
  • Platense FC has a negative goal difference of -6 in their last 3 matches.
  • Recent head-to-head results show a tendency for low-scoring draws between these teams.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atlético Choloma

  • Sharper attackAtlético Choloma

    Atlético Choloma are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defensePlatense FC

    Platense FC are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded
  • Historical edgePlatense FC

    Platense FC have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formAtlético Choloma

    Atlético Choloma have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Atlético Choloma at 40% — final result was Atlético Choloma win, Atlético Choloma 2-0 Platense FC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atlético Choloma2.28market 43.8% · model 40%
Platense FC2.84market 35.2% · model 30%
Draw3.18market 31.5% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Atlético Choloma have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Platense FC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Atlético Choloma wins
3Draws
3Platense FC wins
9-12Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atlético Choloma2.28best 2.50
Draw3.18best 3.50
Platense FC2.84best 3.01

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.92best 2.15
Under 2.51.79best 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes1.72best 1.85
No1.98best 2.10

Double chance

Atlético Choloma/Draw1.34best 1.40
Atlético Choloma/Platense FC1.27best 1.30
Draw/Platense FC1.52best 1.62

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atlético Choloma2.28 0.23
Draw3.18 0.26
Platense FC2.84 0.04
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Atlético Choloma win+0.3pp
AI
40%
Market
39.7%
Draw+1.5pp
AI
30%
Market
28.5%
Platense FC win-1.9pp
AI
30%
Market
31.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Atlético Choloma
4103-23WLLL
11
Platense FC
4013-81LLDL

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1
2Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Atlético Choloma

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Liga Nacional predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC?+

Our AI model favors Atlético Choloma to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, Platense FC 30%).

What time does Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).