Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP

Serie B· Regular Season - 24
LDLDGoals 5-119th in league
DWWDGoals 10-814th in league
Home6W 4D 3L(18-12)
Away3W 4D 6L(8-13)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'Gustavo Coutinho
  2. 4'Marrony (Peixoto)
  3. 21'Gustavo Coutinho (João Pedro)
  4. 25'João Pedro (Warley)
  5. 41'Patrick Brey
  6. 45'Hygor (Arthur Caike)
  7. 45'Ze Hugo (Felipe Vieira)
  8. 45'Morelli (Marco Antônio)
  9. 54'Ericson
  10. 58'Geovany Soares (Gustavo Maia)
  11. 59'Henrique Freitas (Bruno Jose)
  12. 69'Leandro Vilela
  13. 71'Rafael Gava (Kelvin)
  14. 72'Leandro Vilela (Cristiano)
  15. 72'Marrony (Klebert)
  16. 78'Gabriel Inocencio (Leandro Maciel)
  17. 79'Adriano Martins (Warley)
  18. 83'Leandro Maciel
  19. 87'Kelvin

Lineups

Atletico GoianienseBotafogo SP
0.5
Goals/game
1.0
1.1
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Atletico Goianiense win
43.74%
Draw
30.94%
Botafogo SP win
25.32%
31.1%BTTS
24.3%Over 2.5
35%Atletico Goianiense clean sheet
52.2%Botafogo SP clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive match between Atletico Goianiense and Botafogo SP, with both teams struggling for consistent scoring recently. Atletico Goianiense's home record shows a tendency to draw, while Botafogo SP's recent form indicates potential for improvement. The historical head-to-head also hints at closely contested games, making a draw a plausible outcome.

  • Atletico Goianiense has drawn three of their last five matches.
  • Botafogo SP has a stronger recent form with two wins in their last five matches.
  • Historically, Atletico Goianiense has had the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atletico Goianiense

  • Sharper attackBotafogo SP

    Botafogo SP are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1/game
  • Higher league positionAtletico Goianiense

    Atletico Goianiense sit 5 places above Botafogo SP in the table.

    #9 vs #14
  • Strong home recordAtletico Goianiense

    Atletico Goianiense have won 6 of their last 13 home matches.

    6/13 home wins
  • Weak away recordBotafogo SP

    Botafogo SP have won 3 of their last 13 away matches.

    3/13 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Atletico Goianiense at 43.74% — final result was Atletico Goianiense win, Atletico Goianiense 3-0 Botafogo SP.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atletico Goianiense2.13market 47% · model 43.74%
Draw3.02market 33.1% · model 30.94%
Botafogo SP3.64market 27.5% · model 25.32%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Atletico Goianiense have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Botafogo SP have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Atletico Goianiense wins
2Draws
1Botafogo SP wins
4-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atletico Goianiense2.13best 2.20
Draw3.02best 3.15
Botafogo SP3.64best 3.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.41best 2.50
Under 2.51.53best 1.56

Both teams to score

Yes2.04best 2.10
No1.69best 1.73

Double chance

Atletico Goianiense/Draw1.26best 1.29
Atletico Goianiense/Botafogo SP1.34best 1.36
Draw/Botafogo SP1.68best 1.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atletico Goianiense2.13 0.11
Draw3.02 0.01
Botafogo SP3.64 0.23
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Atletico Goianiense win0pp
AI
43.74%
Market
43.7%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
30.94%
Market
30.7%
Botafogo SP win-0.3pp
AI
25.32%
Market
25.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Atletico Goianiense
24996+436DLDW
14
Botafogo SP
24879+231DWWL

Pre-match comparison

0.5Goals scored per game1
1.1Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

W. do Nascimento

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Atletico Goianiense

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Botafogo SP

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP?+

Our AI model favors Atletico Goianiense to win, with a 43.74% probability (Draw 30.94%, Botafogo SP 25.32%).

What time does Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 10:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).