Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino
Match events
- 61'Leozinho (K. A. Calderon Vargas)
- 68'Pedro Henrique (Lucas Barbosa)
- 75'K. A. Calderon Vargas (K. Viveros)
- 76'Matheus Fernandes (Eric Ramires)
- 76'J. Herrera (Eduardo Sasha)
- 76'Gabriel Girotto (Fabinho)
- 77'Joao Cruz (Dudu Kogitzki)
- 78'Eduardo Sasha
- 88'Vinicinho (Yuri Alves)
- 90+1'Gilberto Junior (Jorge Rivaldo)
- 90+1'Dudu Kogitzki (Bruno Zapelli)
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests Atletico Paranaense is performing strongly at home, having secured 8 wins in 11 matches this season. Conversely, RB Bragantino's recent form, marked by only one victory in their last five outings, may hinder their chances. The historical head-to-head matchup also leans towards Atletico's favor, supporting their potential to secure a narrow victory.
- Atletico Paranaense has won 8 of their 11 home matches this season
- RB Bragantino has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Atletico Paranaense unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Head-to-head record favors Atletico Paranaense with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Atletico Paranaense
- Strong recent formAtletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Poor recent formRB Bragantino
RB Bragantino have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Strong home recordAtletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense have won 8 of their last 12 home matches.
8/12 home wins - Weak away recordRB Bragantino
RB Bragantino have won 4 of their last 11 away matches.
4/11 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Atletico Paranaense at 46% — final result was a draw, Atletico Paranaense 1-1 RB Bragantino.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Atletico Paranaense have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- RB Bragantino have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | +12 | 44 | DWDW | |
| 7 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 | DLDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
More Serie A predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?+
Our AI model favors Atletico Paranaense to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 30%, RB Bragantino 24%).
What time does Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

