Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino

Serie A· Regular Season - 23
WWWWGoals 15-63rd in league
LLDWGoals 11-127th in league
Home8W 3D 1L(20-7)
Away4W 3D 4L(11-12)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 61'Leozinho (K. A. Calderon Vargas)
  2. 68'Pedro Henrique (Lucas Barbosa)
  3. 75'K. A. Calderon Vargas (K. Viveros)
  4. 76'Matheus Fernandes (Eric Ramires)
  5. 76'J. Herrera (Eduardo Sasha)
  6. 76'Gabriel Girotto (Fabinho)
  7. 77'Joao Cruz (Dudu Kogitzki)
  8. 78'Eduardo Sasha
  9. 88'Vinicinho (Yuri Alves)
  10. 90+1'Gilberto Junior (Jorge Rivaldo)
  11. 90+1'Dudu Kogitzki (Bruno Zapelli)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Atletico ParanaenseRB Bragantino
1.5
Goals/game
1.1
0.6
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Atletico Paranaense win
46%
Draw
30%
RB Bragantino win
24%
42.4%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
42.7%Atletico Paranaense clean sheet
25.9%RB Bragantino clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests Atletico Paranaense is performing strongly at home, having secured 8 wins in 11 matches this season. Conversely, RB Bragantino's recent form, marked by only one victory in their last five outings, may hinder their chances. The historical head-to-head matchup also leans towards Atletico's favor, supporting their potential to secure a narrow victory.

  • Atletico Paranaense has won 8 of their 11 home matches this season
  • RB Bragantino has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Atletico Paranaense unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Head-to-head record favors Atletico Paranaense with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atletico Paranaense

  • Strong recent formAtletico Paranaense

    Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Poor recent formRB Bragantino

    RB Bragantino have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Strong home recordAtletico Paranaense

    Atletico Paranaense have won 8 of their last 12 home matches.

    8/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordRB Bragantino

    RB Bragantino have won 4 of their last 11 away matches.

    4/11 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Atletico Paranaense at 46% — final result was a draw, Atletico Paranaense 1-1 RB Bragantino.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atletico Paranaense1.99market 50.1% · model 46%
Draw3.22market 31.1% · model 30%
RB Bragantino3.94market 25.4% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Atletico Paranaense have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • RB Bragantino have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Atletico Paranaense wins
1Draws
2RB Bragantino wins
15-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atletico Paranaense1.99best 2.06
Draw3.22best 3.30
RB Bragantino3.94best 4.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.19best 2.26
Under 2.51.66best 1.71

Both teams to score

Yes1.91best 1.96
No1.80best 1.85

Double chance

Atletico Paranaense/Draw1.23best 1.28
Atletico Paranaense/RB Bragantino1.32best 1.35
Draw/RB Bragantino1.78best 1.81

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.23best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.77best 3.80
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.45best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atletico Paranaense1.99 0.01
Draw3.22 0.07
RB Bragantino3.94 0.04
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Atletico Paranaense win-1pp
AI
46%
Market
47%
Draw+0.8pp
AI
30%
Market
29.2%
RB Bragantino win+0.2pp
AI
24%
Market
23.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Atletico Paranaense
241356+1244DWDW
7
RB Bragantino
231058+535DLDD

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.1
0.6Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Atletico Paranaense

0-15'
60%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

RB Bragantino

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

More Serie A predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?+

Our AI model favors Atletico Paranaense to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 30%, RB Bragantino 24%).

What time does Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).