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Atletico Torque vs Tigre

CONMEBOL Sudamericana· Round of 16
Atletico Torque
2–1Full-time
Tigre
WWWWGoals 15-91st in league
WLDWGoals 7-62nd in league
Home3W 0D 0L(6-1)
Away0W 3D 0L(4-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 10'M. Mendez
  2. 10'Goal Disallowed - offside — M. Mendez
  3. 39'Salomón Rodríguez (F. Pizzichillo)
  4. 41'V. Moreno (M. Mendez)
  5. 45+2'N. Banegas
  6. 45+3'Joaquin Laso
  7. 45+4'Salomón Rodríguez
  8. 45+7'Gonzalo Montes
  9. 46'J. Saralegui (F. Alvarez)
  10. 61'A. Barrionuevo
  11. 61'M. Mendez (I. Subiabre)
  12. 61'Joaquin Laso (J. Villalba)
  13. 61'V. Moreno (S. Gonzalez)
  14. 65'E. Busquets (D. Guzman)
  15. 78'S. Lopez (T. Serrago)
  16. 80'Gonzalo Montes (L. Andrade)
  17. 82'Goal Under Review - offside
  18. 85'F. Pizzichillo (J. Taran)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Atletico TorqueTigre
1.5
Goals/game
0.7
0.9
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

Atletico Torque win
23.89%
Draw
31.69%
Tigre win
44.42%
35.8%BTTS
28.3%Over 2.5
44.9%Atletico Torque clean sheet
35%Tigre clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive match between Atletico Torque and Tigre, with both teams showing contrasting home and away forms. Atletico Torque remains unbeaten at home, while Tigre has yet to secure a win on the road, which could tilt the match slightly in favor of the home side. Given the recent head-to-head dominance of Atletico Torque, a draw appears to be a plausible outcome as well.

  • Atletico Torque unbeaten at home this season with 3 wins
  • Tigre has not won any away games this season
  • Atletico Torque has a superior recent head-to-head performance against Tigre
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Tigre

  • Strong home recordAtletico Torque

    Atletico Torque have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.

    3/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordTigre

    Tigre have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.

    0/3 away wins
  • Historical edgeAtletico Torque

    Atletico Torque have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.

    1/1 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseTigre

    Tigre are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.6/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Tigre at 44.42% — final result was Atletico Torque win, Atletico Torque 2-1 Tigre.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Tigre2.12market 47.2% · model 44.42%
Draw2.96market 33.8% · model 31.69%
Atletico Torque ✓3.90market 25.6% · model 23.89%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Atletico Torque have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Tigre have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Atletico Torque wins
0Draws
0Tigre wins
1-0Goals
Tigre
0–1Aug 12, 2026, 10:00 PM
Atletico Torque

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atletico Torque3.90▲best 4.15
Draw2.96▼best 3.06
Tigre2.12▼best 2.22

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.69▲best 2.88
Under 2.51.43▼best 1.48

Both teams to score

Yes2.22▲best 2.30
No1.59▼best 1.65

Double chance

Atletico Torque/Draw1.69▲best 1.75
Atletico Torque/Tigre1.37▲best 1.43
Draw/Tigre1.24▼best 1.28

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.66▲best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.10▼best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.17▲best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33▼best 1.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atletico Torque3.90▲ 1.27
Draw2.96▼ 0.28
Tigre2.12▼ 0.45
17 Aug – 20 Aug

Model vs market

Atletico Torque win-0.1pp
AI
23.89%
Market
24%
Draw0pp
AI
31.69%
Market
31.7%
Tigre win+0.2pp
AI
44.42%
Market
44.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Atletico Torque
6411+613WWLW
2
Tigre
6231+39DDWL

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game0.7
0.9Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

G. Guerrero

3.67Yellow cards / game
0.17Red cards / game
0.33Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Atletico Torque

0-15'
0%
16-30'
12.5%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
12.5%

Tigre

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM
River Plate
Santa Fe
11.2572.00%
X5.4219.00%
213.019.00%
Prediction:River Plate

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atletico Torque vs Tigre?+

Our AI model favors Tigre to win, with a 44.42% probability (Draw 31.69%, Atletico Torque 23.89%).

What time does Atletico Torque vs Tigre kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).