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Austin vs FC Dallas

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 19
Austin
1–2Full-time
FC Dallas
WWDLGoals 12-1614th in league
WLWLGoals 14-215th in league
Home4W 3D 3L(14-10)
Away6W 2D 4L(20-18)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 33'Ramiro
  2. 35'M. Đorđević
  3. 45+2'Lalas Abubakar (Santiago Moreno)
  4. 46'Ilie Sánchez (P. Placheta)
  5. 46'Joseph Rosales (Facundo Torres)
  6. 57'E. Torres
  7. 60'Bernard Kamungo
  8. 63'J. Valiente
  9. 63'Jon Gallagher (Žan Kolmanič)
  10. 63'Christian Ramirez (B. Vázquez)
  11. 68'O. Svatok
  12. 70'Santiago Moreno (Logan Farrington)
  13. 73'Petar Musa (J. Valiente)
  14. 79'Ramiro (Kaick)
  15. 83'Guilherme Biro (Jayden Nelson)
  16. 83'O. Urhoghide
  17. 85'J. Valiente (Clay Holstad)
  18. 85'Petar Musa (R. Binyamin)
  19. 90+9'Myrto Uzuni

Lineups

Austin
FC Dallas
3-4-3
3-4-2-1
1
7.6
1. B. Stuver
6.5← 83'
29. Guilherme Biro
5
6.5
5. O. Svatok
35
6.5
35. M. Đorđević
6.9← 63'
17. Jon Gallagher
6.6← 46'C
6. Ilie Sánchez
14
6.9
14. B. Sabovic
6.6← 46'
30. Joseph Rosales
10
6.2
10. Myrto Uzuni
6.7← 63'
21. Christian Ramirez
38
8.0
38. E. Torres
7.9← 85'
9. Petar Musa
7.7← 70'
10. Santiago Moreno
21
6.2← 85'
21. J. Valiente
7.2
77. Bernard Kamungo
6.9
12. C. Cappis
6.2← 79'C
17. Ramiro
6.3
14. H. Johansson
7.3
5. Lalas Abubakar
3
6.5
3. O. Urhoghide
25
6.6
25. S. Ibeagha
7.3
40. Jonathan Sirois
Davy ArnaudCoachE. Quill
Bench (9)
Bench (9)
AustinFC Dallas
1.2
Goals/game
1.4
1.6
Conceded/game
2.1

AI match analysis

Austin win
33%
Draw
27%
FC Dallas win
40%
62.8%BTTS
61%Over 2.5
22.3%Austin clean sheet
19.2%FC Dallas clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that FC Dallas has historically performed well against Austin, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. Austin's recent form indicates struggles, having lost four of their last five matches, while FC Dallas has recorded two wins over the same span. The statistical averages show that Austin tends to concede more goals, which could further favor FC Dallas in this matchup.

  • FC Dallas unbeaten in last 5 matches against Austin
  • Austin has lost 4 out of their last 5 matches
  • FC Dallas has a better recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches
  • Austin has a negative goal difference of -14 this season
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
72/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Dallas

  • Higher league positionFC Dallas

    FC Dallas sit 9 places above Austin in the table.

    #5 vs #14
  • Good recent formAustin

    Austin have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formFC Dallas

    FC Dallas have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Historical edgeFC Dallas

    FC Dallas have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked FC Dallas at 40% — final result was FC Dallas win, Austin 1-2 FC Dallas.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Dallas ✓2.28market 43.8% · model 40%
Austin2.88market 34.7% · model 33%
Draw3.56market 28.1% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Austin have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Dallas have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Austin wins
1Draws
5FC Dallas wins
8-11Goals
FC Dallas
2–0Sep 14, 2025, 12:30 AM
Austin
Austin
1–1Aug 17, 2025, 12:30 AM
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
3–1Jul 18, 2024, 12:30 AM
Austin
FC Dallas
2–1May 12, 2024, 12:30 AM
Austin
Austin
2–1Mar 31, 2024, 12:30 AM
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
1–0Aug 27, 2023, 12:30 AM
Austin
Austin
3–0Jun 22, 2023, 1:30 AM
FC Dallas
Austin
0–1May 14, 2023, 12:30 AM
FC Dallas

Odds comparison

Match winner

Austin2.88▲best 3.02
Draw3.56▲best 3.70
FC Dallas2.28▼best 2.38

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.66▲best 1.70
Under 2.52.19▼best 2.28

Both teams to score

Yes1.54▲best 1.57
No2.34▼best 2.43

Double chance

Austin/Draw1.59▲best 1.63
Austin/FC Dallas1.26▼best 1.29
Draw/FC Dallas1.39▼best 1.42

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.19best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.27▲best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.65▲best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Austin2.88▲ 0.16
Draw3.56▼ 0.04
FC Dallas2.28▼ 0.05
14 Aug – 17 Aug

Model vs market

Austin win+0.4pp
AI
33%
Market
32.6%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
27%
Market
26.3%
FC Dallas win-1.1pp
AI
40%
Market
41.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Austin
215610-1421WLLL
5
FC Dallas
21966+433WWDL

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.4
1.6Goals conceded per game2.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Touchan

5.83Yellow cards / game
0.5Red cards / game
0.33Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Austin

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
7.1%
31-45'
7.1%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
21.4%
76-90+'
50%

FC Dallas

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
16.7%

Match statistics

65%Possession35%
0.51Expected goals (xG)0.96
4Shots on target6
9Total shots15
4Shots off target7
1Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box11
3Shots outside the box4
7Corners4
2Offsides2
12Fouls17
3Yellow cards4
—Red cards—
4Goalkeeper saves3
572Total passes317
493Accurate passes252
86%Pass accuracy79%

Player ratings

Box score

Austin

6Ilie Sánchez (C)M · 45'
6.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes56%
Tackles1
Duels33%
10
10Myrto UzuniF · 90'
🟨6.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes25%
Tackles1
Duels50%
21Christian RamirezF · 63'
6.7
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes6%
Tackles1
Duels50%
30Joseph RosalesM · 45'
6.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes20%
Tackles—
Duels67%
14
14B. SabovicM · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes63%
Tackles1
Duels100%
38
38E. TorresF · 90'
⚽ 18.0
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes46%
Tackles2
Duels50%
1
1B. StuverG · 90'
7.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes30%
Tackles—
Duels100%
17Jon GallagherM · 63'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes18%
Tackles1
Duels100%
35
35M. ĐorđevićD · 90'
🟨6.5
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes56%
Tackles3
Duels40%
29Guilherme BiroD · 82'
6.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes42%
Tackles2
Duels83%
5
5O. SvatokD · 90'
🟨6.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes72%
Tackles1
Duels25%
Bench (9)
7Jayden NelsonF · 8'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes6%
Tackles—
Duels67%
11Facundo TorresF · 45'
6.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes18%
Tackles—
Duels33%
4Brendan Hines-IkeD
—
77
77P. PlachetaM · 45'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes16%
Tackles—
Duels25%
9
9B. VázquezF · 27'
6.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes2%
Tackles2
Duels75%
15Jonathan BellD
—
24
24Jorge AlastueyM
—
12
12Damian LasG
—
23Žan KolmaničD · 27'
6.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes17%
Tackles—
Duels—

FC Dallas

9Petar MusaF · 85'
⚽ 17.9
More stats
Shots3/3 on target
Passes14%
Tackles—
Duels50%
40Jonathan SiroisG · 90'
7.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes12%
Tackles—
Duels—
5Lalas AbubakarD · 90'
⚽ 17.3
More stats
Shots1/3 on target
Passes30%
Tackles1
Duels33%
21
21J. ValienteF · 85'
🅰️ 1🟨6.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes25%
Tackles1
Duels20%
25
25S. IbeaghaD · 90'
6.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes16%
Tackles—
Duels67%
10Santiago MorenoF · 70'
🅰️ 17.7
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes28%
Tackles—
Duels60%
77Bernard KamungoM · 90'
🟨7.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes22%
Tackles1
Duels62%
12C. CappisM · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes26%
Tackles1
Duels57%
14H. JohanssonM · 90'
6.3
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes13%
Tackles2
Duels50%
17Ramiro (C)M · 79'
🟨6.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes28%
Tackles1
Duels40%
3
3O. UrhoghideD · 90'
🟨6.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes30%
Tackles—
Duels40%
Bench (9)
24J. TorquatoD
—
18
18S. MooreD
—
55KaickM · 11'
6.7
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes3%
Tackles—
Duels100%
28S. SarverF
—
6R. BinyaminM · 16'
6.5
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes1%
Tackles—
Duels—
23Logan FarringtonF · 20'
6.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes2%
Tackles—
Duels50%
30Michael CollodiG
—
22Alvaro AugustoD
—
33Clay HolstadM · 16'
6.7
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes2%
Tackles—
Duels0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Austin vs FC Dallas?+

Our AI model favors FC Dallas to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 27%, Austin 33%).

What time does Austin vs FC Dallas kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).