Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen

UEFA Champions League· Play-offs
WWWWGoals 26-13
LWWLGoals 19-13
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'G. Crettaz
  2. 5'Kaj Sierhuis (N. Polster)
  3. 15'N. Lebreton
  4. 45+2'Fredrik André Bjørkan (Sondre Auklend)
  5. 45+6'Sondre Auklend (Jens Petter Hauge)
  6. 47'D. Nejašmić (B. Nuytinck)
  7. 48'T. Chery (A. Kabar)
  8. 61'B. Linssen (Willum Thor Willumsson)
  9. 61'Dušan Tadić (I. Hansen-Aaroen)
  10. 73'D. Fonville
  11. 74'Fredrik André Bjørkan (Isak Dybvik Määttä)
  12. 80'Andreas Helmersen (O. Brynhildsen)
  13. 80'Fredrik Sjøvold (K. Solhaug)
  14. 80'Sondre Fet (J. Kitolano)
  15. 81'Odin Luras Bjørtuft (Ulrik Saltnes)
  16. 84'B. Pereira

Lineups

Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
2.6
Goals/game
1.9
1.3
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Bodo/Glimt win
63%
Draw
19%
NEC Nijmegen win
18%
68.5%BTTS
68.8%Over 2.5
20.2%Bodo/Glimt clean sheet
14.2%NEC Nijmegen clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

The data suggests that Bodo/Glimt enters this match in strong form, having secured victories in their last three home fixtures, highlighted by a recent win against NEC Nijmegen. Simultaneously, NEC Nijmegen's previous performances indicate vulnerability, especially against Bodo/Glimt, whom they have struggled to overcome in their recent encounters. With Bodo/Glimt averaging over two goals per game, they are favored to continue their scoring prowess in this matchup.

  • Bodo/Glimt has won their last 3 home matches against various opponents.
  • NEC Nijmegen has lost their last 2 matches against Bodo/Glimt, including the recent 3-1 defeat.
  • Historically, Bodo/Glimt averages 2.3 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches, indicating strong offensive potential.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bodo/Glimt

  • Historical edgeBodo/Glimt

    Bodo/Glimt have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.

    1/1 H2H wins
  • Good recent formBodo/Glimt

    Bodo/Glimt have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Poor recent formNEC Nijmegen

    NEC Nijmegen have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackBodo/Glimt

    Bodo/Glimt are averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Bodo/Glimt at 63% — final result was Bodo/Glimt win, Bodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC Nijmegen.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bodo/Glimt1.49market 66.9% · model 63%
Draw4.85market 20.6% · model 19%
NEC Nijmegen5.28market 18.9% · model 18%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bodo/Glimt have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • NEC Nijmegen have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Bodo/Glimt wins
0Draws
0NEC Nijmegen wins
3-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bodo/Glimt1.49best 1.57
Draw4.85best 5.09
NEC Nijmegen5.28best 5.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.28best 1.32
Under 2.53.47best 3.61

Both teams to score

Yes1.39best 1.44
No2.80best 2.89

Double chance

Bodo/Glimt/Draw1.14best 1.19
Bodo/Glimt/NEC Nijmegen1.16best 1.20
Draw/NEC Nijmegen2.53best 2.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06best 1.06

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bodo/Glimt1.49
Draw4.85 0.30
NEC Nijmegen5.28 0.34
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Bodo/Glimt win+0.2pp
AI
63%
Market
62.8%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
19%
Market
19.4%
NEC Nijmegen win+0.2pp
AI
18%
Market
17.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.3Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Oliver

2.93Yellow cards / game
0.03Red cards / game
0.13Penalties scored / game

Based on 30 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Bodo/Glimt

0-15'
7.7%
16-30'
23.1%
31-45'
15.4%
46-60'
30.8%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
23.1%

NEC Nijmegen

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
44.4%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?+

Our AI model favors Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 63% probability (Draw 19%, NEC Nijmegen 18%).

What time does Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).