NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt

UEFA Champions League· Play-offs
LWWLGoals 18-13
WWWWGoals 26-12
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 25'Sondre Fet (Jens Petter Hauge)
  2. 43'Tobias Storm
  3. 44'A. Helmersen
  4. 50'H. Aleesami (Patrick Berg)
  5. 59'Jens Petter Hauge (O. Brynhildsen)
  6. 64'O. Brynhildsen
  7. 68'B. Pereira (K. Sierhuis)
  8. 68'Bryan Linssen (Jamiro Monteiro)
  9. 68'Emre Mor (Adam Tahaui)
  10. 76'F. Bjørkan (I. Määttä)
  11. 77'Ole Didrik Blomberg (J. Kitolano)
  12. 83'D. Fonville (A. Kabar)
  13. 84'T. Chery (Gabriel Brás)
  14. 85'Gabriel Brás (Kevin Kers)
  15. 85'Clement Bischoff (Dušan Tadić)
  16. 90+2'Jamiro Monteiro
  17. 90+3'Sondre Fet (Villads Nielsen)
  18. 90+3'S. Auklend (J. Mvuka Mugisha)

Lineups

NEC NijmegenBodo/Glimt
1.8
Goals/game
2.6
1.3
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

NEC Nijmegen win
33.5%
Draw
25%
Bodo/Glimt win
41.5%
66.6%BTTS
67%Over 2.5
14.2%NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
22.3%Bodo/Glimt clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-2

The data suggests a competitive matchup between NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt, with both teams showing solid scoring capabilities. NEC Nijmegen averages 2 goals per game recently, while Bodo/Glimt leads with an average of 2.5 goals per match. The numbers indicate that Bodo/Glimt may have a slight edge based on their scoring consistency.

  • NEC Nijmegen has scored an average of 2 goals in their last 10 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt has a higher scoring average of 2.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt's recent form includes a notable 3-0 win against Sporting CP at home.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
52/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bodo/Glimt

  • Poor recent formNEC Nijmegen

    NEC Nijmegen have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formBodo/Glimt

    Bodo/Glimt have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackBodo/Glimt

    Bodo/Glimt are averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.6/game
  • Tighter defenseNEC Nijmegen

    NEC Nijmegen are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Bodo/Glimt at 41.5% — final result was Bodo/Glimt win, NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt.

Predicted score was 2-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (52/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bodo/Glimt2.37market 42.2% · model 41.5%
NEC Nijmegen2.66market 37.6% · model 33.5%
Draw3.70market 27% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • NEC Nijmegen have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0NEC Nijmegen wins
0Draws
1Bodo/Glimt wins
0-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

NEC Nijmegen2.66best 2.79
Draw3.70best 3.85
Bodo/Glimt2.37best 2.55

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.38best 1.43
Under 2.52.84best 3.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.35best 1.40
No2.99best 3.30

Double chance

NEC Nijmegen/Draw1.55best 1.60
NEC Nijmegen/Bodo/Glimt1.25best 1.30
Draw/Bodo/Glimt1.44best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17best 1.17

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

NEC Nijmegen2.66 0.20
Draw3.70 0.08
Bodo/Glimt2.37 0.09
16 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

NEC Nijmegen win-1.7pp
AI
33.5%
Market
35.2%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
25%
Market
25.3%
Bodo/Glimt win+2pp
AI
41.5%
Market
39.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game2.6
1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

F. Letexier

3.76Yellow cards / game
0.24Red cards / game
0.24Penalties scored / game

Based on 21 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

NEC Nijmegen

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
37.5%
76-90+'
37.5%

Bodo/Glimt

0-15'
7.7%
16-30'
15.4%
31-45'
23.1%
46-60'
23.1%
61-75'
7.7%
76-90+'
23.1%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?+

Our AI model favors Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 41.5% probability (Draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen 33.5%).

What time does NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).