Bologna vs Lazio
Match events
- 19'Adam Marušić (R. Floriani)
- 22'R. Floriani
- 34'O. El Azzouzi
- 34'B. Dia
- 41'Nicolò Cambiaghi
- 44'M. Cancellieri
- 46'M. Cancellieri (G. Isaksen)
- 54'F. Dele-Bashiru (D. Frattesi)
- 59'D. Frattesi (B. Dia)
- 61'R. Orsolini (Federico Bernardeschi)
- 61'R. Piccoli (A. Dovbyk)
- 61'Nicolò Cambiaghi (Jonathan Rowe)
- 69'Nadir Zortea (Emil Holm)
- 79'B. Dia (T. Noslin)
- 80'Alfonso Pedraza (Nuno Tavares)
- 80'O. El Azzouzi (M. Amondarain)
- 83'J. Odgaard
- 83'Torbjørn Heggem
- 90+3'O. Provstgaard
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a competitive matchup between Bologna and Lazio, with Bologna having a slight edge in recent head-to-head encounters. While both teams enter the season with no points, Bologna's recent record includes an unbeaten streak at home against Lazio, though both sides have struggled defensively. The statistical averages indicate a closely contested game, potentially ending in a draw.
- Bologna unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Lazio
- Lazio's recent away form includes 3 consecutive losses
- Bologna averages 1 scored and 1.5 conceded in last 10 matches
- Lazio averages 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Bologna
- Historical edgeBologna
Bologna have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formLazio
Lazio have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackLazio
Lazio are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game - Tighter defenseBologna
Bologna are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Bologna at 41% — final result was Lazio win, Bologna 0-1 Lazio.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Bologna have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lazio have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
F. Maresca
Based on 25 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Bologna
Lazio
More Serie A predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Bologna vs Lazio?+
Our AI model favors Bologna to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 31%, Lazio 28%).
What time does Bologna vs Lazio kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).