Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 11 | 0 |
 San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
The data suggests a favorable matchup for the Boston Red Sox, who are scoring consistently at home with an average of 5.2 runs over their last ten games. Meanwhile, the San Francisco Giants struggle defensively, allowing an average of 4.1 runs per game in their recent outings. Historically, the Red Sox have had a stronger performance against the Giants, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters. This leads to an overall probability of a close contest, with the Red Sox slightly favored to secure a win.
- Boston Red Sox averaging 5.2 runs scored in last 10 matches
- San Francisco Giants conceding 4.1 runs per game in their last 10 matches
- Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 against the Giants
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Boston Red Sox
- Poor recent formBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formSan Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Boston Red Sox at 55.61% — final result was Boston Red Sox win, Boston Red Sox 6-4 San Francisco Giants.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Boston Red Sox have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Francisco Giants have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Boston Red Sox are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with San Francisco Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Boston Red Sox | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.76▲ | 1.25▼ |
| -3 | 3.44▼ | 1.28▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.83▲ | 1.40▼ |
| -2 | 2.56▲ | 1.49▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.21▼ | 1.68▲ |
| -1 | 1.79▼ | 2.01▲ |
| +1 | 1.35▼ | 3.10▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.30▼ | 3.36▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.47▲ | 2.61▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.60▲ | 2.29▼ |
| 7 | 1.76▲ | 2.03▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.97▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 8 | 2.18▲ | 1.68▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.35▲ | 1.57▼ |
| 9 | 2.74▲ | 1.42▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.88▲ | 1.40▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Who is likely to win Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants?+
Our AI model favors Boston Red Sox to win, with a 55.61% probability (San Francisco Giants 44.39%).
What time does Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 11:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants?+
Boston Red Sox: 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. San Francisco Giants: 0, 0, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 6-4.