Botafogo vs Cienciano

CONMEBOL Sudamericana· Round of 16
Botafogo
10Full-time
Cienciano
DLLLGoals 18-211st in league
WWDLGoals 16-142nd in league
Home2W 1D 0L(6-2)
Away0W 1D 2L(1-6)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'Danilo (A. Montoro)
  2. 11'Huguinho
  3. 22'Santiago Arias
  4. 37'Danilo (Gabriel Justino)
  5. 37'Goal Disallowed - handball — Danilo
  6. 40'Alex Telles
  7. 41'Maximiliano Amondarain
  8. 45+5'Warleson (Gabriel Batista)
  9. 45'Alex Telles
  10. 46'J. Romagnoli (N. Bandiera)
  11. 46'Huguinho (Júnior Berimbau)
  12. 58'Santiago Arias (H. Caparo)
  13. 61'Gerson Barreto
  14. 64'Gerson Barreto (Ademar Robles)
  15. 64'Danilo (Edenilson)
  16. 65'Danilo (K. Barria)
  17. 70'A. Hohberg (Gonzalo Aguirre)
  18. 70'C. Garcés (Matías Succar)
  19. 75'C. Medina (Matheus Martins)
  20. 78'Carlos Cabello
  21. 90+7'Nahuel Ferraresi
  22. 90'Gabriel Justino
Lineups unavailable for this match.
BotafogoCienciano
1.8
Goals/game
1.6
2.1
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Botafogo win
84.91%
Draw
9.28%
Cienciano win
5.81%
67.3%BTTS
67%Over 2.5
15.7%Botafogo clean sheet
20.2%Cienciano clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

Data suggests that Botafogo is in strong form, currently top of the league with no losses in their last five matches. Their impressive home record combined with Cienciano's struggles away from home points toward an advantage for the hosts, despite their recent heavy defeat to Cienciano earlier in the competition. The numbers indicate a likely higher scoring outcome for Botafogo, assuming they continue their home winning trend.

  • Botafogo unbeaten at home this season with 2 wins and 1 draw from 3 matches
  • Cienciano has a poor away record with 0 wins in 3 matches
  • Botafogo scored 4 goals in their last home match against Fortaleza EC
  • Cienciano won 6-1 against Botafogo in their last encounter, but forms have fluctuated since then
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Botafogo

  • Historical edgeCienciano

    Cienciano have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.

    1/1 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordBotafogo

    Botafogo have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordCienciano

    Cienciano have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.

    0/3 away wins
  • Poor recent formBotafogo

    Botafogo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Botafogo at 84.91% — final result was Botafogo win, Botafogo 1-0 Cienciano.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Botafogo1.13market 88.7% · model 84.91%
Draw9.14market 10.9% · model 9.28%
Cienciano15.60market 6.4% · model 5.81%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Botafogo have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Cienciano have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Botafogo wins
0Draws
1Cienciano wins
1-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Botafogo1.13best 1.17
Draw9.14best 12.20
Cienciano15.60best 18.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.25best 1.30
Under 2.53.61best 3.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.91best 2.10
No1.81best 1.95

Double chance

Botafogo/Draw1.02best 1.03
Botafogo/Cienciano1.06best 1.08
Draw/Cienciano6.04best 7.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes16.00best 17.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.84best 1.85
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.84best 1.85
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.02best 1.02

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Botafogo1.13 0.01
Draw9.14 1.04
Cienciano15.60 2.90
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Botafogo win+1.3pp
AI
84.91%
Market
83.6%
Draw-1pp
AI
9.28%
Market
10.3%
Cienciano win-0.2pp
AI
5.81%
Market
6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Botafogo
6510+1016WWWW
2
Cienciano
6222-28LLWW

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game1.6
2.1Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Benitez

4.5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Botafogo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Cienciano

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
37.5%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
12.5%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Botafogo vs Cienciano?+

Our AI model favors Botafogo to win, with a 84.91% probability (Draw 9.28%, Cienciano 5.81%).

What time does Botafogo vs Cienciano kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).