Cienciano vs Botafogo

CONMEBOL Sudamericana· Round of 16
Cienciano
61Full-time
Botafogo
WDLLGoals 10-142nd in league
DLWLGoals 18-151st in league
Home2W 1D 0L(4-1)
Away3W 0D 0L(9-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'Matías Succar (A. Hohberg)
  2. 20'Neri Bandiera (Maximiliano Amondarain)
  3. 30'Matías Succar
  4. 35'M. Martinich (A. Hohberg)
  5. 37'A. Montoro (Kauan Toledo)
  6. 37'K. Barria (Arthur)
  7. 46'Ademar Robles
  8. 46'J. Romagnoli (Ademar Robles)
  9. 49'Matheus Martins
  10. 56'Marçal (Alex Telles)
  11. 62'Neri Bandiera (A. Hohberg)
  12. 63'Danilo (Santiago Rodríguez)
  13. 64'C. Medina (Edenilson)
  14. 71'Neri Bandiera (H. Caparo)
  15. 78'Matías Succar (Cristian Souza)
  16. 86'Gabriel Justino
  17. 87'Gerson Barreto (Gonzalo Aguirre)
  18. 90'Cristian Souza (Ray Sandoval)

Lineups

CiencianoBotafogo
1.0
Goals/game
1.8
1.4
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Cienciano win
37%
Draw
30%
Botafogo win
33%
56.9%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
20.2%Cienciano clean sheet
28.7%Botafogo clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a competitive matchup between Cienciano and Botafogo. While Cienciano has shown resilience at home with a strong record, Botafogo's current unbeaten streak and superior scoring average favor their chances.

  • Cienciano's last 5 matches include 3 wins, but they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game.
  • Botafogo is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with a strong away record of 3 wins this season.
  • Historically, Botafogo has a positive scoring average of 2 goals per match in the last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
63/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cienciano

  • Strong home recordCienciano

    Cienciano have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Strong away recordBotafogo

    Botafogo have won 3 of their last 3 away matches.

    3/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackBotafogo

    Botafogo are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Tighter defenseBotafogo

    Botafogo are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cienciano at 37% — final result was Cienciano win, Cienciano 6-1 Botafogo.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cienciano2.56market 39.1% · model 37%
Botafogo2.75market 36.3% · model 33%
Draw3.20market 31.2% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Cienciano have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Botafogo have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Cienciano wins
0Draws
1Botafogo wins
0-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cienciano2.56best 2.70
Draw3.20best 3.40
Botafogo2.75best 3.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.98best 2.07
Under 2.51.80best 1.90

Both teams to score

Yes1.73best 1.79
No2.01best 2.07

Double chance

Cienciano/Draw1.42best 1.47
Cienciano/Botafogo1.32best 1.39
Draw/Botafogo1.49best 1.56

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.30best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.29best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.35best 3.40

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cienciano2.56 0.20
Draw3.20 0.16
Botafogo2.75 0.10
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Cienciano win+0.4pp
AI
37%
Market
36.6%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
30%
Market
29.3%
Botafogo win-1.1pp
AI
33%
Market
34.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Cienciano
6222-28LLWW
1
Botafogo
6510+1016WWWW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Cienciano

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Botafogo

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Cienciano vs Botafogo?+

Our AI model favors Cienciano to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 30%, Botafogo 33%).

What time does Cienciano vs Botafogo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).