Bournemouth vs Everton

Premier League· Regular Season - 2
Bournemouth
11Full-time
Everton
DDLLGoals 16-1215th in league
WDWWGoals 18-165th in league
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 21'Alex Scott
  2. 23'Adam Smith
  3. 41'Alex Scott (Francisco Evanilson)
  4. 53'Marcus Tavernier
  5. 59'James Garner
  6. 62'James Garner (Hayden Hackney)
  7. 62'Tyrique George (Brennan Johnson)
  8. 69'Lewis Cook (Tyler Adams)
  9. 70'Thierno Barry (Beto)
  10. 81'Justin Kluivert (David Brooks)
  11. 81'Francisco Evanilson (Álvaro Rodríguez)
  12. 87'Harrison Armstrong (Charly Alcaraz)
  13. 87'Merlin Röhl (Tim Iroegbunam)
  14. 87'Alex Scott (Ryan Christie)
  15. 90+1'James Tarkowski
  16. 90+5'Charly Alcaraz
Lineups unavailable for this match.
BournemouthEverton
1.6
Goals/game
1.8
1.2
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Bournemouth win
46%
Draw
28%
Everton win
26%
62%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
22.3%Bournemouth clean sheet
20.2%Everton clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that while Bournemouth has struggled recently, Everton comes off a commanding win and holds a higher league position. Historically, their matchups are competitive, but Bournemouth's home advantage coupled with Everton's recent form indicates a slightly favorable outlook for the home side.

  • Everton has won 4 of their last 5 matches, displaying strong recent form.
  • Bournemouth has not secured any points yet this season and lost their opening match.
  • Head-to-head history is close, but Bournemouth has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Everton.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bournemouth

  • Good recent formEverton

    Everton have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Historical edgeBournemouth

    Bournemouth have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionEverton

    Everton sit 10 places above Bournemouth in the table.

    #5 vs #15
  • Sharper attackEverton

    Everton are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Bournemouth at 46% — final result was a draw, Bournemouth 1-1 Everton.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bournemouth2.10market 47.6% · model 46%
Draw3.45market 29% · model 28%
Everton3.52market 28.4% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bournemouth have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Everton have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Bournemouth wins
0Draws
3Everton wins
10-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bournemouth2.10best 2.20
Draw3.45best 3.60
Everton3.52best 3.69

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.94best 2.50
Under 2.51.89best 1.99

Both teams to score

Yes1.75best 2.20
No2.03best 2.15

Double chance

Bournemouth/Draw1.29best 1.33
Bournemouth/Everton1.29best 1.34
Draw/Everton1.73best 1.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bournemouth2.10 0.10
Draw3.45
Everton3.52 0.02
26 Aug29 Aug

Model vs market

Bournemouth win+0.7pp
AI
46%
Market
45.3%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
28%
Market
27.6%
Everton win-1.1pp
AI
26%
Market
27.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
15
Bournemouth
1001-10L
5
Everton
1100+23W

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.8
1.2Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Kavanagh

3.9Yellow cards / game
0.19Red cards / game
2.48Penalties scored / game

Based on 21 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Bournemouth

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Everton

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
30%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
30%
76-90+'
0%

More Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bournemouth vs Everton?+

Our AI model favors Bournemouth to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 28%, Everton 26%).

What time does Bournemouth vs Everton kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).