Brighton vs Tromso

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
Brighton
40Full-time
Tromso
WWDWGoals 17-9
WLDWGoals 21-11
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 10'V. Skjaervik (L. Hien)
  2. 22'C. Kostoulas (M. De Cuyper)
  3. 33'M. De Cuyper
  4. 38'M. Wieffer (C. Kostoulas)
  5. 45'A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
  6. 46'H. Larsen (Ieltsin Camoes)
  7. 48'L. Dunk (P. Struijk)
  8. 48'A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (S. Innvaer)
  9. 48'J. Grundt (L. O. Larsen)
  10. 48'M. Wieffer (Costinha)
  11. 66'D. Gomez (Z. Yohanna)
  12. 66'M. De Cuyper (I. Osman)
  13. 74'O. Boscagli
  14. 81'M. O'Riley (M. Yalcouye)
  15. 81'L. Hien (C. Oyvann)
  16. 86'O. Boscagli

Lineups

BrightonTromso
1.7
Goals/game
2.1
0.9
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Brighton win
80%
Draw
13%
Tromso win
7%
58.5%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
22.3%Brighton clean sheet
24.7%Tromso clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests Brighton is in strong form at home, having won four of their last five matches there, while Tromso has struggled historically against them. With Brighton averaging 1.7 goals scored per home game and Tromso conceding 1.1 goals in away matches, the numbers favor Brighton to secure a win in this playoff.

  • Brighton unbeaten in last 5 home matches
  • Tromso has not won against Brighton in their last encounter
  • Brighton averages 1.7 goals scored per match at home compared to Tromso's away average of 1.1 conceded
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Brighton

  • Sharper attackTromso

    Tromso are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseBrighton

    Brighton are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Brighton at 80% — final result was Brighton win, Brighton 4-0 Tromso.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Brighton1.17market 85.5% · model 80%
Draw6.83market 14.6% · model 13%
Tromso14.19market 7% · model 7%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Brighton have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Tromso have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Brighton wins
1Draws
0Tromso wins
0-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Brighton1.17best 1.22
Draw6.83best 7.95
Tromso14.19best 16.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.45best 1.50
Under 2.52.58best 2.85

Both teams to score

Yes2.14best 2.25
No1.63best 1.72

Double chance

Brighton/Draw1.03best 1.04
Brighton/Tromso1.09best 1.12
Draw/Tromso4.72best 5.30

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.05best 1.05
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.50best 8.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Brighton1.17
Draw6.83 0.06
Tromso14.19 1.21
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Brighton win+0.2pp
AI
80%
Market
79.8%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
13%
Market
13.7%
Tromso win+0.4pp
AI
7%
Market
6.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game2.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. van der Eijk

3Yellow cards / game
0.18Red cards / game
0.36Penalties scored / game

Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Brighton

0-15'
25%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Tromso

0-15'
25%
16-30'
12.5%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
12.5%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Brighton vs Tromso?+

Our AI model favors Brighton to win, with a 80% probability (Draw 13%, Tromso 7%).

What time does Brighton vs Tromso kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).