Tromso vs Brighton

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
Tromso
00Full-time
Brighton
WLWLGoals 21-15
WWWWGoals 21-9
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 48'Luka Vušković
  2. 59'Ferdi Erenay Kadıoğlu
  3. 64'L. O. Larsen (Ieltsin Camoes)
  4. 68'Diego Gómez (Charalampos Kostoulas)
  5. 68'Malick Yalcouyé (Amario Cozier-Duberry)
  6. 77'I. Osman (M. De Cuyper)
  7. 78'Georginio Rutter (Jack Hinshelwood)
  8. 80'Isak Dahlqvist (S. Innvaer)
  9. 80'H. Larsen (J. Grundt)
  10. 87'Ferdi Erenay Kadıoğlu (Z. Yohanna)
  11. 90+1'Troy Nyhammer (D. Braut)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
TromsoBrighton
2.1
Goals/game
2.1
1.5
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Tromso win
17%
Draw
23%
Brighton win
60%
64.8%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
16.5%Tromso clean sheet
22.3%Brighton clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Brighton enters this matchup with a stronger recent form, having won 4 of their last 5 games, while Tromso has struggled with 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Additionally, Brighton's solid defensive record, allowing just 1 goal per game on average, indicates a favorable likelihood of limiting Tromso's scoring potential. Overall, the statistics favor Brighton in this matchup, suggesting a predicted score of 2-1 in their favor.

  • Tromso averaging 1.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches.
  • Brighton has won 4 out of their last 5 matches.
  • Tromso's recent form includes 2 losses in their last 5 outings.
  • Brighton has a strong defensive record with only 1 goal conceded on average in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Brighton

  • Sharper attackTromso

    Tromso are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseBrighton

    Brighton are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Brighton at 60% — final result was a draw, Tromso 0-0 Brighton.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Brighton1.50market 66.8% · model 60%
Draw4.17market 24% · model 23%
Tromso5.73market 17.4% · model 17%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Tromso have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Brighton have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Tromso wins
0Draws
1Brighton wins
0-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Tromso5.73best 6.40
Draw4.17best 4.65
Brighton1.50best 1.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.64best 1.74
Under 2.52.19best 2.32

Both teams to score

Yes1.72best 1.80
No2.00best 2.05

Double chance

Tromso/Draw2.43best 2.63
Tromso/Brighton1.19best 1.23
Draw/Brighton1.12best 1.17

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.00best 6.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.25best 2.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Tromso5.73 0.86
Draw4.17 0.52
Brighton1.50 0.11
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Tromso win+0.9pp
AI
17%
Market
16.1%
Draw+0.8pp
AI
23%
Market
22.2%
Brighton win-1.7pp
AI
60%
Market
61.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game2.1
1.5Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

E. Malcevs

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Tromso

0-15'
25%
16-30'
12.5%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
12.5%

Brighton

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
11.1%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Tromso vs Brighton?+

Our AI model favors Brighton to win, with a 60% probability (Draw 23%, Tromso 17%).

What time does Tromso vs Brighton kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).